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Live Updates

12

Aug 2026

美伊霍尔木兹谈判陷入僵局推升油价，布伦特升至每桶90美元并带动柴油溢价走高

霍尔木兹重开协议前景转淡，补偿条件拉锯推升冲突溢价；布油逼近90美元、柴油涨至1350。炼厂遇袭叠加停运收紧供应，期权与裂解价差布局受关注。

12

Aug 2026

美元指数守在99.80附近，CPI、PPI与美联储利率预期定价引发突破风险

美元指数99.80窄幅盘整，夹在99.50均线与100关口，随CPI/PPI及联储发言或将突破；市场9月会议几乎50/50，加息预期偏鹰，守99.50仍偏多。

12

Aug 2026

在人工智能驱动活动带动下，新加坡上调2026年增长展望；大华银行调高GDP预测

新加坡2Q26 GDP上修至同比+5.9%，AI带动制造与现代服务业；MTI大幅上调全年预测至4.5%-5.5%。新元料获撑、MAS偏紧；海指看涨价差配合虚值看跌对冲外部风险。

11

Aug 2026

日元守在159上方，美元走强；美国CPI公布前油价上涨

美元转强+油价走高助USD/JPY稳守159上方，技术偏多；伊朗与霍尔木兹风险添波动。周三美国CPI成关键，衍生品可逢回调用看涨价差攻160。

11

Aug 2026

英镑在1.35附近企稳，市场关注美国CPI与英国GDP寻求方向

英镑/美元守1.3500附近交投平稳，静待美国CPI与英国GDP掀牌。数据若偏鸽或偏弱，或触发突破1.3550或回撤1.3420，波动料升温。

11

Aug 2026

道指在霍尔木兹海峡关闭导致油价上涨、以及CPI公布前美债收益率攀升之际，于54,000点下方震荡波动

道指高位震荡失守54,200，53,800守关；霍尔木兹重开希望降温推油价走强、美债息率飙。就业转弱但招聘意愿旺，本周CPI/PPI成引爆点。建议原油看涨、指数跨式控风险。

11

Aug 2026

印度白银进口暴跌，护盘卢比抑制贵金属流入，溢价飙升

印度白银进口暴跌91%并非需求差，而是为护卢比上调关税至15%加许可证限流。现货溢价飙至6.5美元，紧盯油价与USD/INR，10月前或突放松引爆反弹。

11

Aug 2026

荷兰合作银行：美国CPI与干预风险或令美元/日元徘徊160附近，三个月目标158

美7月CPI成美元兑日元关键引爆点：通胀降温或压美元、叠加日方干预风险促回撤；若超预期则套息回归再冲160。Rabobank三个月看158，建议期权对冲波动。

11

Aug 2026

美元/加元逼近两个月低点，交易员静待美国CPI、油价波动与美联储利率信号

美元/加元连跌徘徊两个月低位，美元等待美国CPI仍偏强。油价与霍尔木兹风险牵动加元。建议CPI前用跨式捕捉波动，并买入USD/CAD看涨对冲。

11

Aug 2026

油价与就业数据超预期支撑加元，美元兑加元徘徊于1.39支撑位附近

油价坚挺与加拿大就业超预期，助加元走强、美元/加元守1.39低位。丰业下调公允至1.3868；跌破1.3899或探1.3817，反弹阻力1.3965-1.4000，可布局看跌期权。

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