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Live Updates

15

Aug 2026

美元企稳，疲软美国数据缓和美联储前景，投机性净多头在会议纪要公布前持续累积

美元指数两周连跌后反弹破100，但美数据转软令加息预期降温。CFTC净多头升至2.25万张、季节性9月偏强；聚焦FOMC纪要与日元干预，建议逢回调布局看涨期权。

15

Aug 2026

美元/加元跌破1.4000，美元走弱；市场关注加拿大CPI与加拿大央行动态

USD/CAD跌破1.4000，连跌三周；美元转弱、加国数据强与油价高挺加元。RSI 29显超卖，反弹概率68%；关注CPI与央行决议，波动策略与中期偏空布局。

15

Aug 2026

美元指数跌破99.50，疲弱零售销售降低美联储加息概率

零售销售与信心双双爆冷，美元指数跌破99.50支撑，9月加息概率降至31%。FOMC纪要与房屋、工业、PMI数据将定方向，失守或看99、98.5。

15

Aug 2026

美元/新元在1.28附近企稳，随着美国PPI走软削减美联储加息押注，地缘政治风险仍存

USD/SGD徘徊1.28：PPI走软压低升息预期但美元跌势受限，地缘风险托底。技术偏箱体，关注1.2770/1.2740支撑与1.2840-1.2890阻力；宜铁鹰收权利金，配虚值看涨对冲。

15

Aug 2026

美元/瑞郎回落至近期高位下方，空头旗形延续，期权交易员严阵以待波动加剧

USD/CHF 回吐四连升仍守0.8100，技术呈看跌旗形、RSI走平或转区间。关键阻力0.8150/0.8207，下方支撑0.8103/0.8079。期权可用call止损入场+OTM put对冲，或铁秃鹰布局波动率突破。

15

Aug 2026

贝克休斯：美国石油钻机数量升至455座，钻探活动保持稳定

贝克休斯：美国石油钻机数周增1至455座，暗示供给端趋稳；效率支撑产量约1320万桶/日，WTI上行受限，交易可偏区间震荡与卖权利金策略。

14

Aug 2026

美元走软、疲弱美国数据削弱9月联储加息预期，金价走高

美元转弱与美国零售、信心数据疲软拖累加息预期，黄⾦周五升0.9%至4,386美元。9月加息概率降至31%，关注4,400突破与央行买盘支撑。

14

Aug 2026

法国兴业银行指出，美元/韩元跌破200日均线后，正测试2023年趋势线支撑位1407

韩元强势续航存疑？法兴指USD/KRW跌破200日线1478后考验1407趋势支撑；重上1425才确认反弹。失守1407恐探1388/1385及1375，波动料加剧。

14

Aug 2026

美元/离岸人民币维持在6.7400–6.7500区间波动，收益率利差收窄，仍偏向下行

USD/CNH陷6.7400–6.7500窄幅横盘，动能走平；短线宜做区间策略收时间价值。中期仍偏缓跌看6.7300，破6.7580转区间；利差收窄支撑人民币。

14

Aug 2026

英镑升至三个月高位，因美国数据疲软打压美元并降温美联储加息预期

英镑借美元疲弱强势上攻，GBP/USD 逼近三个月高位 1.3561。美国通胀与信心转弱推升联储鸽派预期，期权宜偏多布局并防范美元急跌风险。

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