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Live Updates

21

Aug 2026

国债回购推升美元偏弱基调，市场聚焦PMI数据及DXY支撑位

美债回购被视为“压住长端收益率”信号，美元料温和走弱。市场盯8月PMI与DXY 99阻力；策略偏多EUR/USD、做空瑞郎、看涨兰特。

21

Aug 2026

亚洲股市今日走势平稳，但在美国国债收益率走强、油价上扬之际，周线恐录得跌幅

债息压力暂缓，亚洲股市守涨却周线偏弱；油价因海湾僵局升温。策略：做空长久期美债、买布油看涨；加码韩半导体；中国会议前布局恒指波动。

21

Aug 2026

油价上涨与美国国债收益率反弹拖累卢比走软；美元/印度卢比维持在95.72附近

油价高企叠加美债30年息回升，卢比走弱，USD/INR守95.72区间。关注霍尔木兹风险与资本外流；衍生品可用铁秃鹰，破95.87转牛价差。

21

Aug 2026

在美元走软及美联储降息预期支撑下，金价持稳于4,550美元上方

金价冲上4,550美元创6月初新高，美元走软+突破200日SMA助攻；但美联储再加息概率68%且中东推油价升温通胀，追高需谨慎，盯4,529枢轴与波动策略。

21

Aug 2026

美元/加元跌势扩大，油价走强提振加元，尽管美国国债收益率上升

美元/加元连跌至1.3770：油价因美伊紧张升温走强、美元偏弱及美加贸易进展撑加元。惟美债收益率上行或限制跌幅，宜用有限风险策略。

21

Aug 2026

纽元/美元触及6月高位，美元走软及市场押注纽储行加息提振汇价

纽元兑美元连涨三日冲至0.5970，高位蓄势！美元转弱与RBNZ加息预期推升多头；但油价、中东紧张及FOMC鹰派令风险未除。

21

Aug 2026

新西兰7月年度贸易逆差达52.3亿纽元，加大纽元压力

快讯：新西兰7月年度贸易赤字扩大至52.3亿纽元，进口快于出口、受中国需求弱与乳制品价跌拖累；纽元料承压，市场关注做空NZD/USD与期权对冲布局。

21

Aug 2026

新西兰7月出口下滑至73.9亿纽元，加剧纽元与利率前景压力

新西兰7月出口降至73.9亿纽元、环比跌8.6%，外需转弱拖累乳制品与林业。纽元压力加大，市场或押注更激进降息；可考虑做空NZD/USD瞄0.5900。

21

Aug 2026

新西兰7月进口跃升至93.4亿纽元，加剧贸易逆差忧虑并令纽元承压

新西兰7月进口激增至93.4亿纽元，暗示贸易赤字扩张，纽元短线承压。想趁势获利？可关注NZD/USD做空或买入短期看跌期权。

21

Aug 2026

英国GfK消费者信心指数优于预期，提振英镑并抑制英国央行降息预期

英国8月GfK消费者信心升至-14，胜预期-18；负值未脱却显韧性。或推升消费动能，令英伦银行降息更谨慎。策略：做多英镑期权、做空短端英债、偏多富时250。

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