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Live Updates

21

Aug 2026

原油反弹剑指95至100美元，受加元走强影响USDCAD承压

油价完成74.50美元ABC回调后转强，目标95至100；能源上行提振加元、美元走弱，USDCAD偏空：反弹1.3840–1.3911可短空，守1.4000关键线。

21

Aug 2026

道明证券预计加拿大央行将把利率维持不变至2027年，市场静待11月贸易数据

TD证券：就算关税协议落地，加拿大央行仍将观望至11月贸易“硬数据”出炉；利率料维持不变贯穿2026，明年1月才首加。短端CORRA、卖隐波与加美利差/看空加元成焦点。

21

Aug 2026

欧元兑美元升至三个月高位，国债回购拖累美元，市场聚焦PMI数据与杰克逊霍尔央行年会

欧元/美元冲上三个月高位破1.1700！美国国债回购翻倍打压美元，PMI分化推波动。关注德GDP、美国PCE、杰克逊霍尔；策略偏多看涨价差，并用保护性看跌控风险。

21

Aug 2026

欧元区PMI持稳：制造业走强，法国与德国服务业跌破50

欧元区8月PMI稳中微升至52.1：制造业创四年高、服务业法德跌破50。交易机会来了——多DAX空CAC，或EUR/USD用铁鹰捕捉低波动权利金。

21

Aug 2026

欧元/英镑走低，欧元区与英国PMI初值互相抵消，地缘局势缓和限制波动

欧元区与英国8月快闪PMI齐报喜却互相抵消，EUR/GBP小跌困守0.8559–0.8576区间；伊朗释缓和信号降波动。技术中性，适合卖跨式/铁鹰收息等待突破。

21

Aug 2026

道明证券预计，沃什在杰克逊霍尔的演讲将推动美元波动加剧，而非出现明确方向性走势

TD 指沃什杰克逊霍尔主谈生产率、AI与美联储框架改革，难释短期信号；利率预期锚定下美元偏弱、以波动为主。期权宜跨式/宽跨式，防通胀信誉回落冲击。

21

Aug 2026

在美国财政部回购债券抑制收益率并削弱美元之际，金价升穿4,600美元创三个月新高

黄金站上4,600美元创12周新高：美元走软、长债回购压低收益率助攻。警惕PCE与杰克逊霍尔引爆波动，关键支撑4,500，阻力4,700。央行持续扫货托底。

21

Aug 2026

加拿大帝国商业银行预计加拿大第二季GDP反弹至3%以上，警告贸易提振效应消退或限制加元升幅

RBC看好加拿大6月与二季GDP反弹，料年化超3%，出口与消费带动、汽车复苏助攻。但动能难续；交易员可趁加元与短端走强布局做空与看跌。

21

Aug 2026

金价触及4,604美元，美元走软及央行需求支撑周线三连涨

黄金重返4,500–4,550支撑后冲高至4,604、周线三连涨在望；美元走软与美债收益率回落叠加央行/ETF买盘推升。上破4,605看4,720。跌破4,450-4,390慎防回调。

21

Aug 2026

英镑兑美元随美元走软而走高，英国零售疲弱抵消PMI回升与英央行加息预期

英镑兑美元趁美元走弱走高，但英国零售销售转跌、动能降温；所幸8月综合PMI升至52.5创四个月新高，市场仍计价英央行未来12个月加息50点。

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