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Live Updates

22

Aug 2026

星展预计在能源成本上升及AI需求带动下，新加坡通胀与产出将回升，前景获提振

通胀与工业产值双升温：DBS料7月整体/核心通胀2.4%/2.3%，工业产值增9%。金管局偏鹰助新元走强，AI带动科技期权；警惕能源、电价与海峡扰动风险。

22

Aug 2026

美元跌破99，财政部回购计划施压美债收益率并重燃财政忧虑

美债回购掀波澜：财政部瞄准旧券压低长端收益率，美元跌破99下探98.5。美联储仍偏鹰，杰克逊霍尔与PCE或引爆反转。警惕熊陡。

22

Aug 2026

中东紧张局势与美元走软推升金价，创三个月新高并录得周线涨幅

黄金冲上三个月高位，本周料涨5.6%至4,622美元：中东紧张、美元走软撑盘。关注4,650/4,700阻力与4,600止损，期权多头抢攻上行动能。

22

Aug 2026

欧元/美元有望录得连续第四周上涨，美元走软与利差收窄推动欧元逼近1.17

欧元/美元连涨四周但冲高回落，触1.1700后守1.1682；美元转弱与利差收窄撑盘。技术超买警讯升温：破1.1700望1.1800，失守1.1631恐回撤。

22

Aug 2026

德国商业银行：伊朗紧张局势与能源价格拖累信心，预期德国Ifo指数将回落

伊朗战忧与能源走高拖累情绪：德国8月Ifo料86.6降至86.0。预期转弱、现状仍稳但不确定。交易上警惕DAX/欧元承压、波动升温，关注能源与供应链对冲。

22

Aug 2026

尽管美国国债收益率走高，受赤字忧虑与对冲需求升温影响，美元指数仍徘徊在99下方

美元跌破99创5月新低，收益率回升也救不了。债务40万亿、加息预期降温致“美元-利率”脱钩。策略：偏空DXY至98.5/98，增配金价4550与比特币，迎PCE与杰克逊霍尔波动。

22

Aug 2026

美元/瑞郎企稳，美元收窄跌幅；瑞士央行暗示重启负利率，美国PMI提振市场情绪

美元/瑞郎低位反弹仍周跌：SNB官员放话或重返负利率压瑞郎；美元指数徘徊三个月低点。央行分歧或推升波动，短期跨式/宽跨式捕捉突破，紧盯PCE与回购扩容。

22

Aug 2026

德意志银行称英国支出带动增速上行，利好英镑及推升债券收益率

能源冲击下英国仍成G7增速王：上半年消费+0.85%、PMI升至52.5，GDP预测或上调。策略：买短期GBP/USD看涨、做空Gilt或付息互换，押注FTSE250看涨价差。

21

Aug 2026

贝克休斯美国钻机数量低于预期，加剧供应趋紧预期并推升油价押注

惊喜：美油钻机降至452座低于预期456，显示上游动能转弱、供给趋紧。机构看好WTI短多，关注近月backwardation与期权虚值看涨布局。

21

Aug 2026

美国数据、杰克逊霍尔会议及非农就业小幅修正定调；加拿大GDP与澳大利亚CPI成焦点

下周美数据与杰克逊霍尔成焦点：消费韧性、PCE降温；非农修订料温和。策略：做平坦曲线、卖美债看跌；买标普看涨；加元偏多、澳元风险逆转。

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