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Live Updates

22

Aug 2026

美元徘徊在5月低位附近，回购买盘压低美债收益率，PCE与杰克逊霍尔会议前市场观望

美元逼近5月低位、收益率受回购压制；金价破4,600创新高、油澳强势。下周PCE与杰克逊霍尔或引爆波动：偏好美元看跌、黄金看涨、欧镑跨式。

22

Aug 2026

星展银行：在通胀降温且增长不均衡之际，泰国央行料维持1.00%利率不变

DBS料泰国央行8月按兵不动，利率维持1%。通胀回落至1.9%且在目标内、增长冷热不均；央行或维持宽松配合财政复苏，应对地缘风险。

22

Aug 2026

日元升息押注升温、美国PMI支撑绿back，美元在159日元附近企稳

美元日元159附近拉锯：日通胀回升推BOJ9月加息概率80%撑日元；美PMI走强与回购压收益率托美元。关注杰克逊霍尔，区间卖价差、波动买跨式。

22

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示：投机者将原油净多头仓位提高至12.21万手

投机资金又加码原油？CFTC显示非商业净多头升至12.21万手，较前值9.92万手增2.29万手，COT反映期货与期权敞口上升。

22

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示：投机者转为净做空标普500指数期货，持仓降至-1.06万手

CFTC爆出警讯：标普500非商业净持仓由+11.3K骤转-10.6K，投机资金翻空。叠加8-9月季节性走弱，建议用保护性认沽、熊市价差对冲回撤风险。

22

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示：投机客将黄金净多头提高至22.22万手，看涨押注持续增加

CFTC：黄金非商业净持仓升至222.2k，突破220k关键关口。投机多头温和回流，押注降息压低收益率，金价或酝酿再上攻；但高仓位易获利回吐，需严控止损。

22

Aug 2026

随着 CFTC 数据显示在央行会议前看空仓位减少，英镑净空头头寸回落

英镑空头开始松动？CFTC显示非商业净持仓升至-54.6K（前值-56.2K），看空力度收敛。通胀趋稳或触发空头回补，关注PMI与零售数据带动反弹。

22

Aug 2026

投机者加码看空日元押注，CFTC数据显示净空头仓位扩大

警惕日元再掀风暴：CFTC显示投机性净空头由-4.21万扩大至-5.29万，套利交易回潮压低日元；但仓位拥挤，若日央行转鹰恐触发急速反弹。

22

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示，受中国需求担忧影响，投机者扩大澳元净空头仓位

CFTC最新显示澳元投机净持仓再探新低：非商业净空从-39.2k扩至-44.2k，跌破-40k警戒。受中国数据偏弱与RBA转鸽预期拖累，AUD/USD下行压力升温。

22

Aug 2026

硬资产飙涨带动金银走高，美债收益率飙升加剧债市压力

硬资产周期疑似重启：金价冲4,600、银逼70，铜锡油齐强。美债收益率高企、联邦债破40万亿催回购护盘。关键位：金4,700/5,000；银75/100。衍生品抢先布局。

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