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24

Aug 2026

英镑守在2月高位附近，较温和的美国收益率前景令美元承压

英镑逼近近月高位，美元因通胀降温与美债回购压低收益率续弱；但美伊紧张、油价波动或撑美元。市场聚焦PCE与鲍威尔讲话。

24

Aug 2026

中国人民银行将美元/人民币中间价定在高于路透预估水平，引发人民币波动及衍生品仓位调整

央行把USD/CNY中间价调至6.7841，明显弱于预期，释放“限制人民币升值”信号。关注利差收窄引发波动：可布局看涨期权或跨式策略捕捉突发行情。

24

Aug 2026

欧元/美元逼近1.1680，美国企业回购拖累美元，欧洲央行流动性转向与伊朗风险逼近

EUR/USD 连涨至1.1680；美财政部拟把长债回购翻倍至40亿美元压低收益率、拖累美元。惟美伊紧张恐推避险反扑。欧元受通胀2.9%与ECB结构性LTRO预期撑，交易员备战波动：牛差价、保护性认沽、宽跨式。

24

Aug 2026

美元/加元走高，美国对加拿大加征50%关税，渥太华准备于9月展开报复措施

美加谈判破裂，美国对部分加品突加征50%关税，加拿大9月8日反制。USD/CAD升至1.3787，隐波或飙；期权跨式、能源价差与板块对冲受关注。

24

Aug 2026

纽元/美元跌破0.6000，新西兰零售销售不及预期；焦点转向美国PCE数据

纽元跌破0.6000！新西兰零售销售意外转弱叠加美伊紧张推升美元避险，NZD/USD承压；交易偏向买看跌/做空，关注周三美国PCE与AUD/NZD机会。

24

Aug 2026

新西兰第二季零售销售下滑0.5%，降息预期升温拖累纽元走低

新西兰Q2零售量意外跌0.5%逊预期，纽元跌至0.5973：消费转弱或促RBNZ更快降息。外汇可用近月看跌与跨式对冲，关注中国需求与乳价。

24

Aug 2026

新西兰第二季扣除汽车零售销售增长0.7%，显示家庭开支趋缓

新西兰第二季剔车零售销售环比仅增0.7%，较上季1.0%降温0.3个百分点；基础消费动能放缓，家庭开支趋谨慎，市场关注后续经济与利率走向。

24

Aug 2026

新西兰零售销售大幅下滑，纽元下行风险再起，强化降息预期并提高股市谨慎情绪

新西兰Q2零售销售意外跌0.5%，消费动能转弱，纽元恐受压下行。RBNZ降息预期升温，两年期掉期或再跌，纽股可选消费板块面临回撤风险。

24

Aug 2026

新西兰零售销售好于预期，提振纽元并抑制市场对新西兰央行降息的预期

新西兰Q2零售销售按季劲升0.7%远超预期0.1%，消费韧性爆表；纽元或短线走强，RBNZ降息空间收窄，留意NZD多头与股市利率压力。

24

Aug 2026

COT数据显示：随着价格上涨，澳元、天然气与金属的套保者持仓出现极端布局

COT极端读数警讯：澳元、天然气、欧元、加元等套保盘拉伸，投机盘仍偏空但价格续涨；黄金白银指数却降至0%，矛盾背离酝酿大波动与转折。

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