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Live Updates

26

Aug 2026

日元走强，市场押注日本央行9月加息；美元在美国PCE数据公布前走软

日圆走强压低美元/日圆逼近159，日本央行9月或加息25基点预期飙升；美元待PCE通胀数据定调。技术面受20日EMA压制，RSI偏弱，后市看央行措辞方向。

26

Aug 2026

英伟达财报发布在即，市场小幅走高；期权定价显示“超预期”后反应或偏淡

英伟达财报前市场降温：利好惊喜或不再爆发。期权隐波升温定价8%-10%波动，宜避昂贵单边看涨，转向铁鹰、信用价差及指数保护认沽应对季节性回调。

26

Aug 2026

澳元在强劲CPI带动下走高，市场上调澳洲联储加息押注；静待美国PCE数据

澳元因澳洲7月CPI超预期走强，AUD/USD升至0.7180，市场押注RBA 9月再加息概率飙升。接下来盯紧美国PCE，交易可布局0.7250看涨期权。

26

Aug 2026

亚洲风险情绪转稳，澳洲通胀回升推高澳储行加息几率；霍尔木兹海峡谈判传闻令油价回落

亚洲风险偏好回暖却见分化：澳洲通胀跳升拖累ASX、加息预期升温；油价与收益率回落。聚焦日银/韩银、英伟达、杰克逊霍尔与核心PCE。

26

Aug 2026

在回购推动、利率押注转向之际，美元指数在PCE数据公布前小幅走高，逼近99

DXY回到99关口，今晚PCE与周五杰克逊霍尔或引爆48小时波动。回购扩至40亿、制裁加码，9月加息概率降至38%；策略：短跨式、熊价差。

26

Aug 2026

金价回落至4,650美元下方，美元走强等待PCE数据及杰克逊霍尔讲话

金价亚洲早盘跌破4,650美元，美元转强静待PCE与杰克逊霍尔。国债回购压低收益率或托底，但RSI超买，宜用跨式捕捉波动，关键位4,700/4,522。

26

Aug 2026

路透调查显示：多数受访者预计日本央行9月加息，终端利率押注升温

路透调查大转向：57%料日央行9月加息，明年初政策利率或达1.5%，终端看向1.75%甚至2%。日元看涨，策略关注USD/JPY看跌与做空JGB。

26

Aug 2026

美国将对加贸易争端升级：加征50%关税，推升美元/加元波动与对冲需求

重磅升级：白宫援引《贸易扩张法》338条，对加拿大多类商品加征50%关税，加方拟“一元对一元”反击。市场关注USD/CAD剧震、汽车链与木材农品期权对冲套利。

26

Aug 2026

英镑/日元跌破下降趋势线，英镑触及三周高位，目标看向218.00和219.00

GBP/JPY 突破下降趋势重返 217，引爆衍生品战机：短期看 218-219，但 RSI 缓升暗藏急转；建议用牛市价差控风险，跌破 217 转买看跌瞄准 215.72。

26

Aug 2026

墨西哥比索守住近十年高位，因美债收益率回落且伊朗制裁立场转变降温风险偏好

比索逼近十年高位、USD/MXN守16.94下方！美债收益率回落与对伊制裁转向压美元；墨西哥经常账户转正撑套息。策略：短天期看跌价差，反弹写备兑。

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