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28

Aug 2026

挪威8月失业率小幅上升，刺激降息押注并令克朗承压

挪威8月季调登记失业升至80.064千人，劳市降温信号增强。4.5%高息压力或松动，秋季降息押注升温；NOK或走弱，关注EUR/NOK期权与FRA机会。

28

Aug 2026

西班牙8月HICP通胀放缓至4.5%，强化市场对欧洲央行鸽派转向的押注并引发市场波动

西班牙8月HICP同比4.5%低于预期，通胀意外降温或牵动欧元区路线重估：关注Euribor期货、德债/西债多头与EUR/USD短期限看跌期权。

28

Aug 2026

西班牙8月HICP低于预期，提振市场对欧洲央行降息押注，带动债券及欧元衍生品交易

西班牙8月HICP环比仅0.6%，低预期0.8%：欧元区通胀或更快降温。押注ECB 9月更鸽派：多国债/ Euribor期货，买EURO看跌，长IBEX/欧股指期货。

28

Aug 2026

英伟达飙涨推动标普500逼近历史新高，但市场广度疲弱与欧洲下挫令风险升温

英伟达财报点燃科技反弹，美股指数走强却“内伤”明显：逾三分之二成分股下跌。欧洲银行拖累回落，9月季节性偏弱。趁VIX仍低，布局SPY/QQQ保护性认沽或熊市价差对冲。

28

Aug 2026

阿联酋金价小幅走低，央行买盘支撑下交易员关注回调

阿联酋金价周五回落：每克541.15迪拉姆、每托拉6,311.86。FXStreet称或是策略性买点；央行增持1,136吨与利率、美元波动支撑，期权价差可控风险布局。

28

Aug 2026

金价跌破4,600美元，强劲美国PCE推升美联储加息概率，杰克逊霍尔会议前市场趋谨慎

金价跌破4,600美元，核心PCE稳、9月加息概率升至40%压制黄金；市场盯杰克逊霍尔讲话与霍尔木兹进展。期权策略：买保护性看跌、价外卖Put、牛市价差搏反弹。

28

Aug 2026

东京核心CPI高于预期，进一步强化日本央行继续加息的理由

东京8月核心CPI同比升1.8%超预期，通胀粘性增强。或促日央行维持偏鹰加息路径，推高波动：做多日元、做空JGB期货，日股出口板块需对冲下行风险。

28

Aug 2026

东京核心-核心通胀维持在2%，继续对日本央行进一步加息构成压力

东京8月核心-核心CPI同比2%，潜在通胀守住日央行目标。加息压力升温：可考虑做空JGB期货、布局日元走强，并以日经225看跌期权对冲。

28

Aug 2026

美元/日元在160下方企稳，干预影响消退且美日收益率差距扩大

美元/日元五连升仍困160阻力，RSI逼近69。巨额干预后反弹收复半跌幅，利差撑套息。今晚东京CPI、杰克逊霍尔与非农前，波动或放大。

28

Aug 2026

中方拒绝美方拟议的301条款关税，双方仍保持峰会谈判窗口开放

美拟对华加征7.5%“301”关税，中方强烈反对但保持峰会沟通。贸易火药味升温，期权波动或飙升：关注USD/CNH做多波动、FXI保护性认沽与铜价空头机会。

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