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31

Aug 2026

8月澳新银行新西兰企业信心降温，强化市场对新西兰央行降息的押注

纽西兰ANZ业务信心8月降至53.7，乐观降温。RBNZ更有空间续降息，纽元承压；策略：买NZD/USD看跌、做多票据期货、收固定；同时布局AUD/NZD看涨。

31

Aug 2026

日本7月零售销售反弹推升市场对日本央行收紧政策的押注，带动日元与日本国债波动加剧

日本7月零售环比劲弹2.4%逆转6月-4.1%，内需韧性超预期。日银加息空间升温，日元波动料放大；建议短天期USD/JPY看跌期权，留意JGB与日经回调风险。

31

Aug 2026

日本7月工业产出增速降温，强化对日本央行鸽派立场的预期并拖累日元

日本7月工业生产同比仅增4.1%，动能降温引爆市场：日银或转更鸽，日元承压；策略上偏多JGB期货，日经用短期Put对冲工业股回调风险。

31

Aug 2026

贝森特称日元波动仍受控，美方在G20施压中国贸易条款之际关注与日本央行的会谈

贝森特称日元波动受控、干预风险降，将会晤植田；对华谈判更强硬，促G20重评贸易压不平衡。策略：卖美日短波、持多设损，买澳美保护跌。

31

Aug 2026

韩国7月工业产出增速降温，拖累韩元并影响政策前景

韩国7月工业产出同比仅增3.6%，明显低于前值5.8%，制造业降温警讯浮现。韩元与KOSPI波动或升温，BOK降息预期提前，期权对冲布局正当时。

31

Aug 2026

韩国7月工业产出增速大幅放缓，加剧韩元与政策前景压力

韩国7月工业产出环比仅升0.2%，从6月6.4%急降，半导体需求转弱。警惕韩元与股市承压：可布局USD/KRW看涨、KOSPI看跌与做多3年KTB。

31

Aug 2026

韩国7月服务业产出下滑，韩元面临逆风令韩国央行承压

韩国7月服务业产出骤降1.3%逆转前月升势，内需降温逼近BOK宽松拐点：关注USD/KRW看涨、做多3年KTB、配置KOSPI200看跌对冲。

31

Aug 2026

金价逼近4,700美元，美联储鹰派立场与美债回购加剧通胀与收益率拉锯

黄金一个月飙至每盎司近4,700美元。通胀顽固与Fed或再收紧、增长降温并存。策略：买金看涨、长债看跌期权；金多债空、加VIX与股指保护。

31

Aug 2026

AI盈利激增推动标普500创历史新高，摩根大通料2026年上看8,000点

AI交易再成美股主线！二季盈利暴增47.4%推标普逼近7,800，华尔街看8,000；惟9月季节性偏弱，宜用SPX牛市价差、卖价外Put并配保护性Put控风险。

30

Aug 2026

美国打击伊朗导弹发射装置威胁霍尔木兹海峡石油运输，推高原油价格与波动率押注

突发：美军打击伊朗发射器阻布雷霍尔木兹，德黑兰誓报复。油市或急震，Brent/WTI料冲10%-15%。策略：买原油call/波动率；对航空运输买put，能源航运买call。

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