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Live Updates

1

Sep 2026

美国JOLTS职位空缺不及预期，强化市场对美联储降息及收益率走低的押注

美国7月JOLTS职位空缺727.1万，低于预期730万，劳市降温信号再现。债市或押注更鸽降息，美债收益率承压；关注短端期权、标普价差、美元看跌与黄金多头。

1

Sep 2026

美国7月建筑支出下滑0.5%，强化美联储提前降息理据

美国7月建筑支出意外跌0.5%，高利率开始降温实体经济！市场或押注更快降息、收益率下行；关注SOFR期货与美债期权，ITB保护性Put对冲波动。

1

Sep 2026

美国ISM制造业PMI不及预期引发美联储鸽派押注打压美元并推升美债

ISM制造业PMI 8月跌至54.6爆冷，扩张放缓引发降息押注升温。交易员可关注美债期权、美元看跌、黄金多头及VIX对冲。

1

Sep 2026

德国央行行长纳格尔：经济增长展现韧性、通胀降温；G20就协调干预日元展开讨论

纳格尔称全球仍增长、通胀与服务业降温且无二轮效应；偏好协调干预。驱动降息预期：做多Euribor、布局EUR/USD看跌价差，及欧股Euro Stoxx50长天期看涨期权。

1

Sep 2026

大华银行警示：通胀预测突破容忍区间，印度央行或自2026年12月起连续加息

印度通胀或于3QFY27破6%并拖累实际利率转负，UOB料RBI自2026年12月起连两次各升息25bp；建议做多1年OIS付息、放空中短债期货，并战术做多卢比。

1

Sep 2026

英镑/美元跌破1.3550，鹰派美联储言论提振美元，但多头趋势仍维持

英镑/美元跌破1.3550，Fed主席沃什杰克逊霍尔鹰派推高加息预期与美债收益率，美元走强。衍生品宜短线布局看跌，但守100日线，回调或为中期买点。

1

Sep 2026

全球债券遭抛售、日本10年期国债收益率升破3%，霍尔木兹风险推高油价

利率“更高更久”信号升温：日债10年破3%、美债高企，欧股承压；霍尔木兹紧张推油价上91；日元守160、加密走强，建议期权对冲。

1

Sep 2026

随着市场加码押注美联储加息且霍尔木兹海峡紧张推升油价，金价跌至两周低点

黄金回调至两周低点：美元走强、美债收益率冲上4.80%推升9月加息概率至65%。中东升温推油价走高；关注$4,350支撑与数据前波动，谨慎用期权控风险。

1

Sep 2026

欧元/美元自1.1570支撑位反弹，交易员权衡1.1550下行空间与1.1650阻力位

欧元/美元急跌后强弹至1.1620，但动能未明。日内料守1.1595-1.1640，关注1.1550支撑、1.1650强阻。期权：短线卖波动，三周防下探；长期看1.1800-1.1850。

1

Sep 2026

JOLTS数据即将出炉，油价飙升令美联储前景蒙上阴影，欧元/美元承压于1.1600附近

JOLTS周二揭盅、周五非农接力：岗位或偏软但油价破85美元推升通胀，降息逻辑受扰。欧元/美元守1.1600乏力，建议布署看跌与长跨式捕波动。

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