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7

Oct 2026

银行指出油价与法国OAT国债波动令市场紧张，欧元兑美元走软，选择通过期权逢低布局淡化抛售

欧元兑美元走软：高油价拖累、法国OAT忧虑升温且临近穆迪审查，10月前仍承压。团队指美元反弹已偏“拉伸”，用3个月零成本风险逆转押年底美元转弱。

7

Oct 2026

加拿大8月录得42亿加元贸易顺差，能源出口在美国新关税前激增

关税前抢运叠加油价走强，加拿大8月贸易转42亿加元顺差，9月出口动能续升。加元短期偏强，建议布局CAD看涨期权与日历价差。

7

Oct 2026

美元/加元走低，原油供应前景拖累加元，加拿大就业数据公布前市场谨慎

油价转弱拖累加元，美加虽回落至1.4240仍偏多。供应恢复、G7释储压油；加国就业与BoC加息预期或重定价，技术支撑1.4200附近，关注突破1.4260。

7

Oct 2026

美国非农就业数据疲弱削弱美联储10月加息概率，市场焦点转向9月CPI与美元走势

非农转弱拖累美元：10月加息概率跌破20%，市场转盯10月14日CPI。策略：减美元多头、用跨式期权捕捉波动；短弱属修正，逢回调布局中期看涨。

7

Oct 2026

商品多元化与套息支撑巴西雷亚尔，美元兑雷亚尔料下滑至4.60附近

雷亚尔迎来布局窗口：大宗商品顺差+高Selic套息支撑。模型指USD/BRL短线约5.00、长期趋4.60。选举顺风或压至4.80；建议risk-off反弹逢高买BRL。

7

Oct 2026

纽元/美元在0.5580附近测试多年支撑，六周连跌令下行偏向依旧根深蒂固

纽元兑美元连跌六周逼近0.5580关键支撑，空头仍控盘：失守0.5470恐下探0.5200/0.5000；若守住或反弹看0.6000。RBNZ加息难救，通胀与议息前波动升温。

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