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25

May 2026

华尔街期货上扬，美伊协议谈判降温油价与加息忧虑

美伊协议曙光点燃全球股市：道指、标普、纳指期货齐涨，休市成交料淡。霍尔木兹或重开压油价、缓通胀，VIX走低；聚焦PCE、GDP与财报，期权攻守并备。

25

May 2026

美伊和平前景抵消美联储鹰派立场，金价企稳于4,550美元上方，涨幅受限

金价守住4,550美元却陷区间：美伊和谈预期压美元、挺黄金；但美联储2026加息押注偏鹰掣肘，4,650成关键阻力，跌破4,360恐加深回调。

25

May 2026

印度卢比承压，印度央行加大支撑力度，市场对6月加息猜测升温

美元/卢比上周回落，但油价高企与美元需求仍压制卢比。RBI干预、收紧黄金进口护盘，6月5日或加息并祭美元融资；会前波动或飙升，跨式买波动、会后偏买USD/INR看跌。

25

May 2026

沃什首度以美联储主席身份亮相，释放淡化前瞻指引信号，升息与美元波动风险升温

Warsh宣誓掌舵美联储，沟通或“回到格林斯潘式猜谜”：淡化点阵图、减少前瞻指引，甚至SEP不公布利率预测。PCE若偏热，波动率与美元仓位不确定性飙升。

25

May 2026

纽元兑美元维持区间震荡，市场静待纽央行维持利率决定

纽美反弹受阻0.5880，0.5815六周低点恐再测；市场押注RBNZ周三按兵不动、通胀仍高且GDP仅0.2%。上升三角整理，关注0.5890与0.5860支撑，波动或放大。

25

May 2026

澳元/美元反弹回到区间内，盘整格局持续，关注0.7180附近阻力

AUD/USD 反弹后陷入整理，短线徘徊 0.7100–0.7215，0.7175/0.7180 突破不易；RBA、Fed 暂停讯号与铁矿石企稳利多区间策略，但谨防失守 0.6850 下探 0.6765。

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