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2

Jun 2026

欧元/美元维持在1.14至1.18区间震荡，6月美联储与欧洲央行会议临近

EUR/USD 困守1.14–1.18，6月央行会议成爆点：ECB或“保险式”加息25bp并上修通胀；若DXY跌破95–98.9区间，欧元有望冲击1.18。

2

Jun 2026

英国M4货币供应增长小幅回升，强化对英国央行鹰派立场的预期

英国M4同比回升至4.5%点燃通胀警报：流动性加速或逼英银更鹰，推升短端gilt与英镑；股市分化，银行或受益，地产公用谨慎。

2

Jun 2026

英国4月消费者贷款增幅低于预期，强化降息押注并施压英镑

英国4月个人净贷款仅增62亿镑，不及预期71亿：家庭借贷转谨慎？BoE加息空间收窄，英镑偏弱、FTSE250承压，警惕消费与地产链回落。

2

Jun 2026

英国抵押贷款批准量超预期，支撑市场对英伦银行利率“更高更久”的预期

英国4月抵押贷款批准量65.94K爆冷超预期，房市韧性削弱今夏降息押注。利率或更久维持高位，利好英镑、金融与房屋建筑商，关注GBP/EUR与FTSE250。

2

Jun 2026

英国M4货币供应量不及预期，推升市场押注英伦银行降息并加剧英镑压力

英国4月M4仅增0.2%逊预期，信贷降温快。英央行或更早降息、鸽派转向；英镑承压看1.2200；关注SONIA、利率掉期收固，FTSE100跨式捕捉波动。

2

Jun 2026

美元稳守99点上方，中东紧张局势推高油价与金价；焦点转向欧元区HICP

中东局势升温掀避险潮：美元指数守99、WTI跳涨近5%、金价重返4500。市场盯欧元区HICP与美JOLTS；策略押油价上行、做多美元与黄金、买欧元看跌。

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