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2

Jun 2026

纽元/美元企稳于0.5930附近，市场押注新西兰联储收紧政策抵消风险情绪，美国数据成焦点

纽元/美元冲高失守0.6000，现徘徊0.5930；中东风险与强势美元压制，但RBNZ加息预期托底。关注0.5950阻力、0.5900支撑，跌破恐下探0.5865。

2

Jun 2026

欧洲议会支持欧盟—美国下调关税，缓解贸易风险并提振欧元与股市

欧盟拟取消部分美国产品关税，赶在特朗普7月4日前降温跨大西洋摩擦。欧元支撑增强，股市利好德国出口与车企，波动率或回落，期权策略受关注。

2

Jun 2026

欧元/美元维持在1.14至1.18区间震荡，6月美联储与欧洲央行会议临近

EUR/USD 困守1.14–1.18，6月央行会议成爆点：ECB或“保险式”加息25bp并上修通胀；若DXY跌破95–98.9区间，欧元有望冲击1.18。

2

Jun 2026

英国M4货币供应增长小幅回升，强化对英国央行鹰派立场的预期

英国M4同比回升至4.5%点燃通胀警报：流动性加速或逼英银更鹰，推升短端gilt与英镑；股市分化，银行或受益，地产公用谨慎。

2

Jun 2026

英国4月消费者贷款增幅低于预期，强化降息押注并施压英镑

英国4月个人净贷款仅增62亿镑，不及预期71亿：家庭借贷转谨慎？BoE加息空间收窄，英镑偏弱、FTSE250承压，警惕消费与地产链回落。

2

Jun 2026

英国抵押贷款批准量超预期，支撑市场对英伦银行利率“更高更久”的预期

英国4月抵押贷款批准量65.94K爆冷超预期，房市韧性削弱今夏降息押注。利率或更久维持高位，利好英镑、金融与房屋建筑商，关注GBP/EUR与FTSE250。

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