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7

Jul 2026

CFTC数据显示：通胀黏性令美联储按兵不动，标普500净空头持仓加深

CFTC：标普500净持仓跌至-3.76万手，空头加码。顽固通胀与强就业或逼美联储维持高利率，估值偏高回撤风险升；VIX低位，买入保护性Put成便宜对冲。

7

Jul 2026

CFTC数据显示：政策分化令美元/日元偏向走高，日元净空仓加深

日元净空头增至-155.1k，空头更拥挤！政策分化与套息推动USD/JPY上看160-161；但警惕干预与轧空风险，宜用看涨期权控回撤。

7

Jul 2026

CFTC数据显示：受中国需求担忧与美元走强拖累，投机客削减原油净多头仓位

CFTC：原油投机净多头降至11.05万口，市场看多降温。叠加中国PMI收缩、美国库存意外累库与美元走强，油价或修正；可关注WTI买Put或熊市价差。

7

Jul 2026

CFTC数据显示：投机客扩大澳元看空押注，净空头加深

CFTC 显示澳元投机净空头从 -13K 扩至 -17.7K（多 -4.7K），看空升温。美澳利差与铁矿石走弱施压 AUD/USD；可考虑认沽或战术做空，警惕拥挤反转。

7

Jul 2026

澳元走强，因美国就业数据疲弱打压美元，市场静候美联储会议纪要

澳元连涨三日靠弱美国就业“喘口气”，AUD/USD逼近0.70仍受0.71均线墙压制；美澳利差偏美元、中国需求与铁矿走弱，反弹或成逢高卖出。

7

Jul 2026

纽约梅隆银行称中国资产配置偏低，期权市场已计入刺激政策或推动反弹的可能性

纽约梅隆：外资对中国股汇债仍严重低配，人民币为APAC持仓最少；抛售已降温、去风险完成。若政策兑现或基本面企稳，低位回补或引爆CNH与股指期权反弹。

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