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16

Jul 2026

加拿大央行维持2.25%利率不变并强调政策平衡，压制加元波动；道明银行看好美元/加元跌破1.40

加拿大央行按兵不动并删“降息/加息”措辞，立场更中性偏鸽；加元短期或盘整、波幅受限。若数据企稳，美元/加元有望下破1.40，期权/期货可布局。

16

Jul 2026

美元/加元企稳，因美国通胀降温及加拿大央行按兵不动，市场对加拿大收紧政策押注降温

美CPI、PPI转软后USD/CAD盘整。BoC按兵不动且增长放缓、核心通胀靠近2%，市场仍押50bp加息恐下修；低波动期权便宜，建议买入看涨或牛市价差。

16

Jul 2026

欧元跌近1.1460，因油价推升通胀忧虑美元企稳，美零售销售数据发布在即

欧元/美元回落至1.1460，美元指数回升100.57；中东紧张推油价逼近85美元，通胀隐忧支撑美元。关注今晚美零售，期权对冲与跨式捕波。

16

Jul 2026

美元/日元小幅走低，区间交易主导；守住21日均线之上，上行偏向仍在

美元/日元短线动能转弱却未破位：161.70–162.30料续横盘，数周160.60–163.00震荡，上守161.00仍具上行空间；区间策略、期权牛差可关注。

16

Jul 2026

道明证券预计6月零售销售持平、PPI走软，并提示美元面临下行风险

零售与PPI双双偏弱，消费动能降温信号明确：TD Securities料美元未来数周承压。策略上可布局欧元/日元期权及美债期货，并用消费ETF看跌对冲。

16

Jul 2026

英镑/美元自两个月高位回落，油价与地缘局势提振美元；英国财政立场支撑英镑

英镑/美元自两月高位回落至1.3525；油价与地缘风险撑美元、限制短线上行。英镑受英国政局趋稳支撑。技术面超买，回调破1.3500或成低吸窗口。

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