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16

Jul 2026

纽元/美元维持在一个月高位附近，纽西兰联储鹰派立场抵消美元反弹

纽美守近月高0.5842，RBNZ偏鹰撑盘但美元反弹限上行。技术续站三均线与MACD零轴上，阻0.5870。策略：偏多，期权牛差；止损0.5807下。

16

Jul 2026

英镑涨幅收窄；美国数据强劲及中东紧张局势推升美元，压制风险偏好

英镑兑美元冲高回落：美国零售、就业数据强+地缘风险推升避险美元，GBP/USD跌至1.3375。利率押注转鹰，波动率走高，宜用跨式/价差并原油对冲。

16

Jul 2026

随着胡塞武装威胁及美伊冲突推升风险溢价，WTI跌破50日EMA

WTI 油价因胡塞威胁一度飙近2美元后回落，未站稳50日EMA 80.21仍跌0.81%。美封锁伊朗港口、航运咽喉风险升温；今晚关键看80.21能否收复。

16

Jul 2026

金价跌破4100美元，中东紧张局势推高油价，美债收益率回升

金价跌至4,015美元，中东冲突推高油价恐令通胀回潮；美元与收益率反弹、美联储仍偏鹰压制黄金。若失守4,000，或下探3,800，策略偏短期看跌。

16

Jul 2026

美国四周期国库券拍卖收益率升至3.66%，暗示短期资金面趋紧

美国4周期国库券拍卖中标收益率升至3.66%（前值3.63%），短端融资成本走高。流动性趋紧、政策预期再定价；关注SOFR期货、短期期权与VIX对冲股市波动。

16

Jul 2026

瑞郎走软，因美元在押注美联储加息下反弹，且瑞士央行干预风险升温

美元回稳拖累瑞郎，USD/CHF反弹至0.8080。中东推油价、通胀担忧升温，FedWatch押9月加息58%并走高。看涨价差做多美元，警惕SNB干预。

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