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27

Jul 2026

市场关注原油下跌，美国与伊朗暂缓紧张局势缓解通胀担忧并令美元走软

美伊互袭按下暂停键，原油开盘跳水逾5%！但航运受袭致两大海峡流量偏低，波动或再起：油市看涨期权对冲，外汇偏向风险资产。

26

Jul 2026

纳斯达克早盘涨势再度消退，科技股领涨轮动，沙特遇袭推升油价

盘前强、开盘弱成纳指新常态：科技轮动分化、半导体承压，高收益债熄火预警风险退潮；沙特遇袭推油价飙，期权策略主打逢高做空纳指、回调买油。

26

Jul 2026

COT显示育肥牛市场出现极端看涨，新西兰元则急转极端看跌

COT爆点：育肥牛多头创两年极端并突破百期区间；纽元商业净空一年最大、价格走弱。大豆空仓遇阻待抉择；白银投机仓逼近124期极值。

25

Jul 2026

随着日元和欧元空头增持、WTI反弹，外汇仓位转趋防御

资金转防御：日圆、欧元空头回补但动能仍弱，逢高可再沽；WTI 价涨7%配合净多回升成亮点；澳元、英镑现价仓背离，慎防轧空与回落。

25

Jul 2026

Glassnode与Coinbase指出比特币早期筑底迹象，流动性周期驱动第三季度市场走势

筑底才刚开始？Glassnode×Coinbase：BTC或处早期累积区，低点未稳；市值回落、稳定币吸金。与标普相关降至0.12、黄金升至0.57；建议轻杠杆、区间策略，防破位投降。

25

Jul 2026

华侨银行：随6月核心通胀回升持续释放鹰派基调，金管局料维持新元名义有效汇率（S$NEER）政策设定不变

MAS料周一按兵不动：6月核心通胀仅温和反弹，S$NEER设定或维持。焦点看措辞偏鹰与否。交易留意波动率回落，USD/SGD布局区间铁鹰。新元小幅偏多。

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