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28

Jul 2026

第二季财报将出炉，Visa与万事达卡成焦点，期权策略备受关注

财报季高峰来袭：Visa预期上调，EPS料增11.8%、营收增8.4%，适合牛市看涨价差避IV回落；Mastercard预期微降但营收料增15%，宽跨式捕捉双向波动。

28

Jul 2026

在关税逆风与美联储不确定性下，美元/瑞郎延续七连涨，瑞郎回落

法郎避险需求降温、关税与低利率预期拖累，USD/CHF七连涨至0.8190。美联储决议在即，期权与利差交易或迎波动机会；瑞士利率料0%至2027年。

28

Jul 2026

央行行长辞职引发印尼盾走弱，美元兑印尼盾在美联储决议前延续升势

印尼央行行长突辞引发独立性疑虑，USD/IDR逼近18,130；叠加美联储加息预期推升美元。策略：买USD/IDR看涨、油价看跌，对冲新兴市场外流风险。

28

Jul 2026

阿曼在路透报道后油价回落之际，提议联合管理霍尔木兹海峡方案

阿曼据报向伊朗提议仿马六甲模式设霍尔木兹联合管理机制，使用方自愿缴费支援航行、环保与搜救，弱化单边控制；消息拖累WTI跌1.1%。

28

Jul 2026

特朗普释放停火信号、财政部国债收益率下滑，油价走低；Warsh主导的美联储会议前市场观望

油价突崩逾11%：美停袭伊朗、特朗普称协议可期，但德黑兰否认谈判。美债收益率回落，FOMC在新主席沃什下政策难测；建议原油熊市价差、债市做多波动与SOFR日历价差布局。

28

Jul 2026

卢比连续第三个交易日走强，原油价格回落提振前景，市场静待美联储与印度央行决议

油价走软助卢比连涨三日，USD/INR 下探95.65；霍尔木兹关闭仍存变数。聚焦美联储与RBI决议、增长放缓预期，短线关注95支撑与波动策略。

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