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3

Aug 2026

在美伊外交推动下油价下挫，美元维持疲软，交易员关注7月ISM数据

美伊降温提振风险偏好，油价暴跌、股指期货走强、美元偏弱。策略聚焦：原油卖波动、买美日看跌防干预、黄金对角价差偏多，另以股指牛市价差博ISM后续。

3

Aug 2026

纳斯达克100指数反弹，微软提振科技股；Meta指引与美债收益率推动AI板块分化

纳指100震荡后反弹：AI估值逻辑转向“能变现者胜”。微软撑盘、Meta拖累。高收益率+油价升温压成长，GDP放缓、PCE降温。期权跨式/铁秃鹰+价外put控风险。

3

Aug 2026

惠誉确认克罗地亚、捷克及罗马尼亚为“PMI 到期”；帕克什核电站停运恐冲击电网，福林走软

惠誉确认克罗地亚、捷克、罗马尼亚评级；CEE信心创高却暗藏变数：匈牙利核电停机打压福林，PMI与穆迪检视在即，期权与CDS对冲机会浮现。

3

Aug 2026

英镑回落，英伦银行维持利率不变，交易员关注1.3500阻力位

英镑兑美元跌至1.3470，英伦银行维持3.75%但鹰派分歧，9月加息概率腰斩。关注1.3500阻力与1.3389支撑：破位买put，站稳转call。

3

Aug 2026

美元/印尼盾在18,040附近走软；印尼数据提振印尼盾，日元相关动向拖累美元

印尼PMI重返扩张、通胀降至2.88%并现月度通缩，叠加美元受日元干预与风险偏好回升拖累，USD/IDR徘徊18,040；可考虑做空远期或买入看跌、价差策略。

3

Aug 2026

印度卢比随油价在美伊停火消息下走强；市场静待印度央行决议

停火压油价！卢比连涨三日，USD/INR 跌至95.15创三周低；原油挫6%提振 Nifty。聚焦周三 RBI 料按兵不动，看空美元兑卢比至94.78/94.15。

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