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29

Sep 2026

加拿大7月GDP停滞，令加元承压，并强化市场对加拿大央行降息的押注

加拿大7月GDP按月零增长，经济停滞引爆新一轮交易机会：加元或承压、BoC降息预期升温。策略：买USD/CAD看涨、做多短期加国利率期货、布局TSX跨式捕捉波动。

29

Sep 2026

波斯湾紧张局势令油价维持高位，美联储与欧洲央行加息支撑美元走强、收益率走高

波斯湾危机难解，油价高位或拖到2026；AI投资撑全球增长，债市押注高利率更久。12月欧美或各加息25基点：做多原油、做空债、偏多科技，美元强金受压。

29

Sep 2026

英镑/日元走低，日元干预传闻升温，英镑面临预算与增长逆风

GBP/JPY跌向207：日元获干预传闻撑腰、英镑受预算与增长逆风拖累。技术弱势，阻力210-212。策略：布局看跌期权/熊市价差，目标205，防突发干预飙升风险。

29

Sep 2026

美国实际收益率飙升，市场计入美联储进一步收紧政策，通胀预期保持稳定

美国实际收益率全线上冲，主因市场押注再加息约75bp、央行更久维持紧缩，而非通胀失控。通胀预期仍锚定。策略：短中端做空，美债期货/ETF put、payer spread、pay fixed。

29

Sep 2026

金价在大跌4%后企稳，美国国债收益率与美元走强令金市承压

金价暴跌后企稳反弹至4,157美元，但美债收益率新高、美元坚挺压制上行。短线偏空，关注4,157阻力与4,100/4,000支撑；美数据与霍尔木兹升温恐引爆波动。

29

Sep 2026

美元走强：收益率上升、原油期货现货倒挂扩大，以及美联储与欧洲央行政策分歧加深，令利率预期更趋明朗

美元因美债收益率飙升与中东紧张强势上攻；油价“第二轮效应”推高核心通胀，Fed更鹰。布伦特现货升水扩至7美元。策略：做空美债、买跌欧元、牛市价差押油。

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