Live Updates

12

Aug 2026

API报告美国原油库存增加910万桶，逆势超出市场原预期下降，拖累WTI油价

API曝美国原油库存暴增907万桶、远超预期，引爆需求转弱警报；WTI或承压下跌3%至5%，期权偏空布局与关注EIA及裂解价差成关键。

12

Aug 2026

美国通过卖出欧元支撑日元，以保卫美元和美债，令欧洲央行措手不及

美国罕见用欧元撑日圆，避压美元与美债收益率，欧洲央行事后才知。日本改用FIMA回购延后抛美债。交易机会：EUR/USD偏空、USD/JPY波动做跨式、黄金与长债看跌。

12

Aug 2026

泰国7月通胀低于预期，强化泰国央行暂缓加息立场，泰铢企稳

泰国7月CPI仅升2%，低于预期，燃油降价压通胀，需求疲弱令压力受控。市场押注BOT利率按兵不动；泰铢借金价反弹但全年仍偏弱，宜期权对冲。

12

Aug 2026

英镑在英国政治风险消退、收益率利差改善下，稳守数月高位附近

英镑兑美元逼近多月高位横盘，政治风险降温、英美利差改善助力强势。下行风险逆转溢价回落，期权策略偏卖虚值看跌；关注1.3450-1.3550区间，突破瞄准1.36。

12

Aug 2026

美元指数在美国CPI公布前稳守100点下方；聚焦原油与黄金波动

美国CPI前DXY守100下方，加息预期降温；霍尔木兹海峡关闭推升油价、黄金高位震荡。策略：WTI买call、黄金牛市价差，欧元买call，美元/日元熊市价差。

12

Aug 2026

美伊霍尔木兹谈判陷入僵局推升油价，布伦特升至每桶90美元并带动柴油溢价走高

霍尔木兹重开协议前景转淡，补偿条件拉锯推升冲突溢价；布油逼近90美元、柴油涨至1350。炼厂遇袭叠加停运收紧供应，期权与裂解价差布局受关注。

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