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12

Aug 2026

美国7月CPI（未经季节调整）低于预期，强化市场对美联储降息的押注

美国7月CPI未季调333.92小幅低预期，通胀趋缓信号引爆市场：降息押注升温，利率或下行；股指偏多，美元承压，关注SOFR与指数看涨、美元看跌策略。

12

Aug 2026

美元持稳，7月CPI公布在即；伊朗谈判前景未明拖累加息预期降温

美元静待美国7月CPI揭晓，DXY约99.85横摆；9月加息概率降至50%。通胀料温和回升，后续PPI与伊朗局势或成新催化。

12

Aug 2026

美元/日元在159.25附近盘整，日美联合干预限制上行，汇价维持区间震荡

美元/日元企稳159.25，强势拉伸转盘整。美日罕见联合干预筑“官方天花板”，UOB看157–160.20区间。隐波或回落，卖出OTM看涨收权利金更划算。

12

Aug 2026

美国CPI料降温，市场对美联储加息押注降温，为美元更大波动铺路

美国7月CPI料环比仅升0.1%，整体/核心同比降至3.4%与2.5%，受油价回落及中东降温影响。悬念：数据强弱将左右9月加息预期与美元波动。

12

Aug 2026

美国CPI符合预期、美元走软与美债收益率回落推动金价上扬，突破4,400美元

金价站上4,429美元续涨，通胀温和、美元与美债收益率回落助攻。策略：回调靠4,388布局看涨期权；目标4,500分批止盈，止损4,148，中东风险添避险支撑。

12

Aug 2026

欧元/美元受能源成本拖累，交易员等待美国CPI指引短期走势

欧元区数据再强，EUR/USD仍被高能源成本与海湾地缘风险压制。焦点转向美国CPI：若偏软或冲1.1580；但夏季流动性稀薄，宜短期期权区间策略。

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