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by VT Markets
Aug 12, 2026
美元在7月美国CPI数据于格林尼治时间12:30公布前维持区间波动。美元指数（DXY）在撰稿时持平于约99.85。联邦基金期货显示，市场对9月加息25个基点、将目标区间上调至3.75–4.00%的概率为50%，低于7月底的75%；曲线则计入未来12个月累计加息略高于40个基点。
预测显示，整体CPI料在6月录得-0.4%后，7月按月回升0.1%；按年则从3.5%放缓至3.4%。核心CPI预计按月上升0.2%，此前为0.0%；按年增速料从2.6%小幅回落至2.5%。
市场也预计在本周稍后将从周四公布的7月PPI数据中获取方向。与此同时，路透引述伊朗消息人士称，德黑兰与华盛顿并未讨论延长停火，并表示美国重返一份谅解备忘录（MoU），以及包含承诺时间表在内的安排，是正在讨论的议题之一。
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