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13

Aug 2026

美国7月预算赤字达4320亿美元，扩大全球财政部借款需求并拖累长端国债收益率

美国7月预算赤字爆冷扩大至4320亿美元，较预期多860亿；融资需求上修，国债供给或加速推升长端收益率，美元承压，股债波动升温。

13

Aug 2026

美元/离岸人民币维持区间震荡，交易员权衡6.7300下行空间与6.7580阻力

USD/CNH 低波动困局：短线锁定6.7430-6.7530，仍偏向1-3周下探6.7300。衍生品可卖跨式/铁鹰收权利金，留意6.7580突破与6.8430中期转强门槛。

13

Aug 2026

CPI公布后美元稳守在100上方，交易员关注PPI、英国GDP及中东风险

CPI符合预期带动美元指数重返100上方，欧美镑回落、日元反弹。中东升温推金至4410、油守83。英GDP与美PPI成关键，期权布局防波动。

13

Aug 2026

欧元/美元回落，在CPI数据出炉后美元反弹；能源与中东风险推升避险需求

美国CPI符合预期后美元反弹，EUR/USD自1.1563回落至1.1520，守1.1500。技术面动能降温。策略：区间卖OTM call；跌破1.1500则买近月put/熊市价差。

12

Aug 2026

英镑在1.3500附近企稳：美国通胀降温、英国GDP数据将出炉，霍尔木兹紧张局势升温

英镑兑美元守住1.3500，CPI降温但美联储加息定价升温。地缘风险推高波动，周四英国GDP成关键。策略：短期期权跨式/宽跨式，留意1.3427支撑、1.3573阻力。

12

Aug 2026

美国CPI公布后，澳元兑美元回吐部分涨幅，持稳于0.7070附近，焦点转向PPI

AUD/USD围绕0.7070震荡，CPI核心降至2.5%压低美元；市场盯周四PPI定向。技术枢轴0.7062，守住看0.7071/0.7078；失守或回测0.7016。

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