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Live Updates

29

Sep 2026

英镑/日元走低，日元干预传闻升温，英镑面临预算与增长逆风

GBP/JPY跌向207：日元获干预传闻撑腰、英镑受预算与增长逆风拖累。技术弱势，阻力210-212。策略：布局看跌期权/熊市价差，目标205，防突发干预飙升风险。

29

Sep 2026

美国实际收益率飙升，市场计入美联储进一步收紧政策，通胀预期保持稳定

美国实际收益率全线上冲，主因市场押注再加息约75bp、央行更久维持紧缩，而非通胀失控。通胀预期仍锚定。策略：短中端做空，美债期货/ETF put、payer spread、pay fixed。

29

Sep 2026

金价在大跌4%后企稳，美国国债收益率与美元走强令金市承压

金价暴跌后企稳反弹至4,157美元，但美债收益率新高、美元坚挺压制上行。短线偏空，关注4,157阻力与4,100/4,000支撑；美数据与霍尔木兹升温恐引爆波动。

29

Sep 2026

美元走强：收益率上升、原油期货现货倒挂扩大，以及美联储与欧洲央行政策分歧加深，令利率预期更趋明朗

美元因美债收益率飙升与中东紧张强势上攻；油价“第二轮效应”推高核心通胀，Fed更鹰。布伦特现货升水扩至7美元。策略：做空美债、买跌欧元、牛市价差押油。

29

Sep 2026

在美国高收益率及美联储加息押注推升美元之际，欧元逼近年内低点

美元强势压制欧元：EUR/USD 逼近年内低点1.1324，9月或跌2.4%。美债收益率高企、加息预期升温；欧元区信心转弱。策略：买入看跌、做空，并用跨式对冲非农波动。

29

Sep 2026

英镑/美元下滑，艾略特波浪显示或进一步下探至1.3150–1.3000区域

英镑/美元急挫，艾略特波浪指向看跌第三浪或加速：跌破基础通道下沿恐下探1.3150–1.3000。警惕第四浪反弹，阻力1.3270–1.3360；策略以反弹做空/Put及Put Spread控险。

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