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24

Aug 2026

道明证券预计，随着油价冲击消退，加拿大央行将把利率维持在2.25%直至2026年

TD Securities押注加拿大央行利率2.25%按兵不动至2026年，2027年才渐进回归中性2.75%。油价回稳、核心通胀偏弱：关注CORRA做多、卖加元波动。

24

Aug 2026

加元走软，美加贸易谈判破裂；关税升级忧虑升温推高美元兑加元（USD/CAD）

美加谈判破裂、关税战升级压低加元，美元/加元升至1.3830。伊朗制裁或推油价缓冲。关注1.3846阻力、1.3732支撑，期权跨式布局波动。

24

Aug 2026

市场聚焦澳洲央行会议纪要、美国核心PCE与GDP，油价回落金价走强

高波动周来袭：RBA纪要、美国核心PCE与GDP、加拿大GDP及杰克逊霍尔讲话定美元方向。油价50%涨势遇需求转弱与航运风险；金价破4650，关注上破4810或回测4490。

24

Aug 2026

加拿大皇家银行警告：美国50%关税或冲击加国出口商，并拖累加元与债券市场

RBC称美国拟对加拿大部分出口征50%“第338条”关税（约占5%），或升级CUSMA摩擦。加元承压、BoC或按兵不动；塑料电机家具林业最伤，可用期权、债券多头对冲。

24

Aug 2026

MUFG：在美元/加元逼近1.4000之际，加元走势受关税升级风险主导

关税冲击还没完？MUFG称加元走势不看初始波动，关键在争端是否升级与报复风险。50%关税落地恐拖累加元，油价支撑减弱，USD/CAD或回升逼近1.40。

24

Aug 2026

霍尔木兹航运股飙升，伊朗原油出口受阻；WTI测试突破，VIX仍保持低位

霍尔木兹海峡航运两周飙近400%却难解伊朗出口停摆；运费创多年新高。WTI若破85.95–87.84或冲100。VIX超低值延续，标普慢涨，聚焦英伟达业绩。

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