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26

Aug 2026

墨西哥比索守住近十年高位，因美债收益率回落且伊朗制裁立场转变降温风险偏好

比索逼近十年高位、USD/MXN守16.94下方！美债收益率回落与对伊制裁转向压美元；墨西哥经常账户转正撑套息。策略：短天期看跌价差，反弹写备兑。

26

Aug 2026

在美国财政部回购计划打压美元、纽西兰央行升息押注支撑纽元下，纽元兑美元逼近6月高位

纽元/美元逼近0.5983阻力，美元受美财政部1万亿美元回购压制走软，RBNZ加息预期撑盘。策略：短多/买NZD看涨，目标0.6050，止损0.5965下。

26

Aug 2026

美元/新元回落至1.2700，美元走软及市场对金管局收紧政策预期降温限制涨幅

美元走软拖累USD/SGD自1.2800回落至1.2700，风险情绪主导。新加坡7月核心通胀回升但受控，MAS 10月料按兵不动。汇价短线或1.2650-1.2800盘整，留意破局。

26

Aug 2026

美元/离岸人民币（USD/CNH）在低位附近企稳，关税风险与中国人民银行中间价抑制人民币涨势

美元兑离岸人民币徘徊低位：关税传闻再起、央行“回压”抑升值，空头动能减弱。RSI回升或迎反弹，关注6.74阻力、6.72支撑，期权策略抢波动。

26

Aug 2026

纳斯达克在英伟达业绩公布前反弹，霍尔木兹谈判令油价下挫，债券收益率回落

风险偏好推升美股反弹，科技领涨、英伟达业绩前回到210美元上方；但涨势偏窄、消费板块承压。油价大跌、收益率走低。建议期权对冲消费、布局TLT与黄金。

26

Aug 2026

随着霍尔木兹紧张局势缓和且超买信号消退，金价跌破4,700美元

金价冲击4,700美元失败回落至4,641，RSI超买降温且霍尔木兹紧张缓解削弱避险。9月加息概率43%令市场谨慎；关注核心PCE与杰克逊霍尔，短线或回测4,600。

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