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29

Aug 2026

科赫尔称欧元区增长势头与通胀风险正挑战市场对降息的预期

杰克逊霍尔释放鹰派信号：奥地利央行行长称欧洲经济动能更强、通胀风险偏上，市场降息押注或过头；策略：做空近月Euribor、买EUR/USD看涨，利率期权跨式。

29

Aug 2026

古尔斯比呼应沃什：在美联储对降息保持谨慎之际，需求主导型通胀仍具持续性

杰克逊霍尔放鹰：古尔斯比称通胀仍为头号目标，需求驱动更黏、降息预期降温。市场或迎“高利率更久”，美债收益率偏高、美元走强，期权对冲升温。

29

Aug 2026

市场聚焦美国8月就业报告：非农料回升，失业率料小幅走高

美国8月非农成焦点：就业料回升8万、失业率升至4.2%、薪资稳。劳市温和降温非恶化；欧元区通胀回升、ECB或9月加息，全球数据牵动行情。

29

Aug 2026

英镑下挫，沃什聚焦通胀推升美国加息押注，英伦银行利率路径遭重新定价

英镑/美元受沃什鹰派言论拖累走软，市场重估美联储下月加息概率超60%。BoE紧缩预期延后至2027。策略：近ATM认沽/熊市价差与长跨式押波动。

29

Aug 2026

比特币与黄金回落，交易员重新评估风险敞口；XRP测试支撑位，狗狗币走软

涨势后集体降温：比特币冲81,500受阻恐回测68,000，黄金跌破4,600关注4,500；XRP守1.40防连环清算，DOGE回落14%慎杠杆、改区间短打。

29

Aug 2026

贝克休斯调查显示，美国石油钻井平台数减少五座至447座

抓紧看：贝克休斯最新数据显示，美国石油钻机数从452台降至447台，周减5台。钻机数作为上游钻探与E&P短期动能的关键风向标。

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