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1

Sep 2026

日本制造业PMI不及预期，日元降温与加息押注降温，支撑日经指数与日本国债期货衍生品

意外降温：日本Jibun Bank制造业PMI 8月报54.9低于预期55.1，扩张仍在但动能降。BOJ速加息押注降温，日元或偏弱；策略偏日元看跌、日经期权多、做多JGB对冲。

1

Sep 2026

澳元/美元守在0.7165附近，油价飙升推高收益率，聚焦美国数据及澳洲GDP公布前

AUD/USD 升势卡关？汇价徘徊0.7165，油价冲击与美数据密集来袭或推升波动。聚焦澳洲GDP、核心通胀3.6%与RBA偏鹰；关键阻力0.7198、支撑0.7016。

1

Sep 2026

英镑/美元守在1.3550附近，美联储加息押注与地缘政治持续令英镑承压

英镑兑美元1.3550徘徊，技术偏空：1.3500失守恐加速下探1.3450/1.3400。Fed加息预期升温、BoE按兵不动，叠加油价与避险推美元；上破1.3600才翻盘。

1

Sep 2026

硬资产走强：央行购金、供应缺口与债务推动大宗商品飙升

硬资产掀起跨板块狂潮：白银近70、黄金破4,700、铜逼纪录、油重返90。央行猛买金对冲美债40万亿，叠加供给缺口与粮价上扬，交易机会正爆发。

1

Sep 2026

道指在中东紧张局势下收低，油价上涨，加息概率升至60%

中东冲突升级牵动风险偏好，道指跌0.5%收53,300。油价破90推雪佛龙，惟高盛Alphabet拖累。美债利率高企、9月加息概率60%，9月季节性偏弱，关注53,500阻力与52,700支撑。

1

Sep 2026

墨西哥比索小幅走高，油价反弹抵消美联储加息预期，美元/墨西哥比索守在17下方

墨西哥比索逆风走强，USD/MXN 回落至16.99；油价破85与美元抛售支撑。市场仍押注9月加息65%，策略偏短期买Put、17.08附近卖Call控成本。

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