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3

Sep 2026

在干预传闻下美元走软，美国非农就业数据公布前CTA转为买入贵金属

美元走弱+沃勒偏鸽压低利率，贵金属早盘走高：CTA转多白银/钯金，黄金远离卖出线。焦点看非农与通胀；可用看涨期权布局，逢回调分批做多。

3

Sep 2026

沃勒暗示若CPI降温，9月利率或按兵不动；市场严阵以待波动升温，美元指数走软

沃勒放话：8月CPI若续降温，9月或按兵不动但仍留加息后手；美元指数跌至99承压。市场静待CPI，波动或飙升，跨式与美元看涨期权成对冲要点。

3

Sep 2026

美国第二季非农生产力符合预期，联储局利率前景趋稳，波动率押注转向

美国Q2非农生产率年化1.4%符预期，回归20年均值。通胀黑天鹅降温，美联储路径更稳：关注SOFR卖波动、标普区间铁鹰，并布局短期美元看跌。

3

Sep 2026

墨西哥消费者信心8月回升，提振比索前景并强化墨西哥央行降息谨慎立场

墨西哥8月消费者信心升至46.1、意外高于预期，暗示内需韧性。或减轻央行激进降息压力、利多比索；可关注做空USD/MXN、买入MXN及EWW看涨期权。

3

Sep 2026

金价反弹迈向4,500美元，美元走软与收益率下滑抵消加息忧虑

金价跌破4,300后强弹至4,488，美元与美债收益率回落助推。加息押注60%引爆波动，关注4,500关口；期权建议区间铁鹰、保护性看跌。

3

Sep 2026

全球债券收益率攀升，油价降温与央行引导市场走势

债券收益率续升至尾盘盘整，油价与地缘政治牵动情绪！美国就业放缓、欧美股汇回稳；日债牛市趋平；加央行按兵不动但加息预期升温，印度外储飙近7300亿美元。

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