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5

Sep 2026

土耳其央行流动性正常化推动TLREF回归政策利率，市场计入年底前降息预期

土央行回购拍卖促流动性常态化，TLREF回落贴近37%政策利率。ING料9月按兵不动，Q4两次降息至35%。交易策略：布局IRS收固定、TRY曲线下移，外汇期权加尾部保护。

5

Sep 2026

澳元/美元反弹，美元涨势在美国非农数据后消退，市场上调美联储加息概率

非农强劲却未撑住美元，AUD/USD回升至0.7206、瞄准0.7250。RBA偏鹰与通胀韧性支撑澳元；下周美CPI/PPI与中国数据或引爆波动，期权布局应对。

5

Sep 2026

美国强劲非农就业数据推升美元与加息预期，金价在通胀数据公布前回落

非农爆表推升9月加息定价至61%，金价跌至4,437；美元与美债收益率走强压制。市场盯下周CPI/PPI，期权跨式捕捉突破，关键位4,450/4,354。

5

Sep 2026

随着日本央行加息讨论再起，美元指数回吐涨幅，市场焦点转向美国通胀数据

美元冲高回落，DXY逼近100后走弱：日银或加息压制，美联储噤声期下CPI成最大催化。CFTC多头动能转弱未反转，建议用跨式捕捉波动并防范USD/JPY下行。

5

Sep 2026

道指下挫，因美国非农就业数据远超预期推升9月加息概率；贸易威胁增添压力

非农爆表推升9月加息概率超60%，两年美债飙至4.40%压制道指跌破53,400；总统贸易威胁叠加油价高企，PPI/CPI前波动升温，期权偏空对冲成焦点。

4

Sep 2026

英镑收复跌幅，美国非农数据震动英镑/美元；贝利言论打压降息预期

非农爆表掀起汇市震荡：英镑兑美元一度跌至1.3482后反弹至1.3512。贝利强调政策灵活，降温9月加息预期；短线受阻1.3550，1.3500成关键。

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