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5

Sep 2026

美元/瑞郎在强劲美国非农就业数据后走高，但升势受限于0.8100下方，交易员关注关键水平

美非农强劲推升美元，USD/CHF冲破50日均线后回落，0.8100成多空分水岭。短线偏区间：可卖跨式；上破转做多价差，跌破0.8000考虑买Put对冲。

5

Sep 2026

在美元走软、美国国债收益率下行支撑下，印尼盾走强，印尼央行“稳字当头”立场获背书

美元走软、美债收益率回落推升印尼盾，USD/IDR回撤；印尼央行坚持“稳定优先”稳外资。战术做空看17,620/17,444，止损17,710-17,800；油价高企或触发反弹。

5

Sep 2026

中国民营服务业PMI回升，需求与官方指标滞后之际缓解对中国人民银行的压力

民营服务业PMI跳升至51.4掀“反弹”悬念，但官方非制造业仍49、内需偏弱；降息或延后、人民币短稳。策略：领口控波动、接收互换押降准，铜油看跌防御。

5

Sep 2026

英镑走弱：美国就业数据优于预期，推升美联储9月加息概率；英镑/美元守在1.35附近

美国强劲非农推升9月加息押注至61%，英镑兑美元回落至1.3512，DXY逼近100。下周通胀数据定方向；可用bear put spread或宽跨式捕捉波动。

5

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示：投机者将日元净空头持仓增至9.22万张合约，空头进一步加深

CFTC：日元投机性净持仓跌至¥-92.2K，空头加码押注续弱。拥挤交易或触发“逼空”急波动；顺势者需严控仓位、止损，并用JPY看涨期权对冲。

5

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示，大型投机者将标普500指数期货净空头仓位扩大至7.59万张合约

CFTC最新：标普500期货非商业净仓降至-7.59万，空头加码。叠加9月季节性偏弱与VIX易升，建议用保护性认沽/熊市价差及信用认购应对回调。

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