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3

May 2026

在中东局势不明朗之际，投资者争论AI股票估值过高，金融科技则崛起为华尔街具韧性的价值选择

中东不确定性推高VIX至25，全球股市回撤；七巨头跌更深、估值降。资金转向估值更实在的fintech：SoFi卖现金担保认沽、Block做看涨价差、Nubank用跨式押注牌照事件。

2

May 2026

新加坡制造业PMI从此前的50.5小幅升至50.7，显示行业温和扩张

PMI升至50.7、九连扩张，电子与NODX拉动，科技需求回暖。利好STI偏多策略：买call、卖深度价外put；新元或更强，USD/SGD看涨受限，降息预期降温。

2

May 2026

澳元/美元维持在0.7200附近偏强，微幅走高，料录得周线涨幅，但上行仍受压制

澳元兑美元曾在0.7100–0.7200横盘，RSI与吞没形态偏多但阻力密集。如今受美澳利差与商品走弱压制，焦点转向0.6600–0.6700，新行情拐点将至。

2

May 2026

日本CFTC日圆非商业净持仓降至-102.1K日圆，前值为-94.5K

CFTC显示日元投机净空头扩大至-10.21万张，为数月最偏空之一。美核心通胀黏着、降息预期延后，利差与套息交易推升USD/JPY，上看165。投资者关注做空与期权。

2

May 2026

美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）数据显示，黄金非商业净持仓从16.4万手降至15.96万手

CFTC：黄金投机净多降至15.96万手，资金转谨慎。强就业+Fed鹰派推迟降息、美元走强压金价；交易趋防守，考虑Put对冲或跨式捕捉波动。

2

May 2026

英国CFTC报告：英镑（GBP）非商业净持仓从-5.2万英镑降至-6.06万英镑，反映空头增加

英镑空头加码成市场新信号：CFTC显示投机净空扩至-60.6K。通胀升、GDP近停滞令英央行进退两难。衍生品可偏向GBP/USD认沽或熊市价差。

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