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Monthly Archives: June 2026

欧洲央行官员加大释放6月加息信号，北欧银行警告市场低估更广泛的紧缩周期

Neon-glow glass document labeled 'Policy' being signed with a pen; financial chart in the background.

Written on June 1, 2026 at 8:28 pm, by

欧央行官员齐放鹰：6月升息几成定局，强调“可信度”防能源外溢与第二轮效应。Nordea警告市场低估完整升息周期，短端反弹或失真，欧元有望走强靠近1.10。

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Categories: Live Updates

美国ISM制造业PMI升至54，提振美元并令美联储降息前景更趋复杂

Futuristic transparent safe with a dollar sign, overlaid on digital stock charts and graphs in blue and purple hues, symbolizing financial security.

Written on June 1, 2026 at 8:27 pm, by

美国ISM制造业PMI升至54超预期，订单与产出加速、通胀压力稍缓但就业仍弱。美元走强，降息或延后；股市上方受限，铜等工业品受惠。

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Categories: Live Updates

市场预计印度央行将维持利率在5.25%，市场严阵以待鹰派转向以支撑卢比

Transparent, glowing hand signs a policy document with a pen on a illuminated surface, a neon chart visible in the background.

Written on June 1, 2026 at 7:58 pm, by

RBI周五或三度维持利率5.25%，但通胀回升令“鹰派意外”风险升温。美元兑卢比自97回落至95，受干预与油价下跌支撑；短天期看跌期权成焦点。

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Categories: Live Updates

美国营建支出优于预期，冲击美联储9月降息押注并支撑美元走强

A pen signing a contract on a desk with bar charts and graphs in the background, blue-purple lighting.

Written on June 1, 2026 at 7:57 pm, by

美国4月建筑支出环比增0.4%超预期，经济韧性或推迟降息。美元看涨、欧元承压，留意EUR/USD逼近1.05；波动率或升，工业与铜概念受益。

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Categories: Live Updates

美国ISM制造业新订单5月回升，提振需求并挑战市场对美联储降息的押注

Written on June 1, 2026 at 7:28 pm, by

美国ISM制造业新订单5月升至56.8，需求扩张加速。动能或传导至产出与供应链，推升周期股与商品。降息预期降温、美债收益率或走高，衍生品策略迎机会。

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Categories: Live Updates

美国工厂就业指标5月改善，缓和降息押注并提振美元前景

Neon-lit glass pen poised to write on a transparent glass tablet with ridged grooves and a signature mark

Written on June 1, 2026 at 7:27 pm, by

美国ISM制造业就业回升至48.6，裁员放缓但仍收缩；或减轻美联储急降息压力，推高短端美债收益率，美元偏强，股市上攻受限，关注工业原材料机会。

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Categories: Live Updates

美国ISM制造业PMI好于预期，强化美联储“更长时间维持高利率”预期，支撑美元走强观点

Glowing dollar sign on a transparent display with colorful stock charts in the background, conveying finance and markets.

Written on June 1, 2026 at 6:58 pm, by

快讯：美国5月ISM制造业PMI升至54超预期，经济韧性强劲。降息或推迟、利率更高更久；美股偏利好，债券承压、美元走强。工业金属看涨，黄金受压。

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Categories: Live Updates

美国ISM支付价格指数不及预期，降低美联储加息可能性并提振风险资产

Transparent, neon-lit policy document open on a surface with a pen poised to sign.

Written on June 1, 2026 at 6:58 pm, by

美国ISM制造业支付价格5月降至82.1，低于预期，成本涨势放缓或近见顶。市场押注Fed转鸽：买SOFR、做多纳指期权、卖VIX、逢高做空美元。

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Categories: Live Updates

贝利言论与油价回落为英伦银行加息预期降温，英镑兑美元持稳

Glowing transparent euro symbol in the foreground with a neon stock chart in the background.

Written on June 1, 2026 at 6:27 pm, by

贝利释“可看穿通胀”+油价回落，英央行加息预期从80bp降至33bp。英镑仍韧，但强美元压制镑美上行；欧镑0.8550-0.8620获撑。

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Categories: Live Updates

美国制造业PMI不及预期，美联储加息概率降温，对冲需求升温

Multiple glowing monitors display stock charts and graphs in blue/purple neon lighting in a dark room.

Written on June 1, 2026 at 5:58 pm, by

美国5月S&P Global制造业PMI报55.1逊预期55.3，扩张仍在但动能或见顶。市场下调7月激进加息概率；宜增持短端利率多头，低VIX下用SPX/XLI认沽与卖出看涨价差防回调。

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Categories: Live Updates

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