Bitcoin Nears Cycle Peak, Traders Eye Historic Turning Point

    by VT Markets
    /
    Oct 9, 2025

    Key Points

    • Bitcoin eased 0.9% to $121,723.75 after reaching a record high above $126,100 earlier this week.
    • Consolidation near the $120,000 level suggests profit-taking, but technicals remain supportive of an ongoing uptrend.

    Bitcoin steadied near $121,700 on Thursday, slipping 0.9% from recent highs as traders took profits after the cryptocurrency’s latest surge to a new all-time high above $126,100 earlier in the week.

    The move marks a period of consolidation following a rapid advance that lifted prices by more than 20% in less than a month. Despite the pullback, Bitcoin remains firmly within a bullish structure, with strong institutional demand and steady ETF inflows underpinning sentiment.

    Market participants are now watching whether Bitcoin can maintain traction above the $120,000 level, a zone viewed as both psychological and technical support.

    A sustained hold could strengthen the case for another upward leg, while a deeper correction below $118,000 would point to cooling short-term momentum.

    Technical Analysis

    Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is trading at $121,723, down 0.90% in the past 24 hours, as the world’s largest cryptocurrency consolidates after its sharp climb above $120,000 earlier this week.

    The move follows a powerful breakout from the $98,000–$100,000 range that had capped prices for much of Q3, signalling strong bullish momentum, though near-term fatigue is beginning to show.

    From a technical perspective, Bitcoin remains comfortably above its key moving averages (5-, 10-, and 30-day MAs), suggesting the broader uptrend is still intact.

    However, today’s red candle hints at short-term profit-taking as traders reassess risk after the extended rally. The MACD remains in positive territory, though the histogram shows signs of contraction, a potential precursor to momentum cooling if the crossover narrows further.

    The immediate support zone is seen near $118,000, aligning with the recent breakout level and the 10-day MA. A clean bounce from this area could set BTC up for another leg higher, potentially retesting resistance at $125,000–$127,000.

    Conversely, a decisive close below $118,000 could invite a deeper correction toward $111,000, where the 30-day MA sits as a stronger support base.

    Cautious Forecast

    For now, Bitcoin appears to be entering a healthy consolidation phase, absorbing recent gains before potentially retesting resistance above $126,000.

    A breakout above this zone could open a path toward $135,000–$140,000, while a failure to hold $120,000 could trigger a corrective move toward the $115,000 handle.

    The broader trend remains bullish, but traders may see volatility intensify as markets balance near-record valuations against increasingly crowded long positions.

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