Policy

16 September 2026
US deficit holds near prior-year pace as fiscal 2026 shortfall hits $1.97tn, debt nears $40tn

August Treasury data shows $166.8B deficit; FY2026 shortfall $1.97T near $40T debt, driving yield-curve risk.

16 September 2026
China’s domestic demand fades as output picks up, Standard Chartered warns of Q3 growth risks

China’s domestic demand weakens while AI-driven exports lift output; downside Q3 GDP risks prompt fiscal, monetary support.

16 September 2026
Korean won rally fades as structural inflows and BoK tightening point to USD/KRW range trading

Korean won up 15% as structural inflows and BoK tightening drive consolidation; USD/KRW likely 1,330–1,380 range.

16 September 2026
US Redbook Index jumps 8.5% yearly, bolstering higher-for-longer Fed rate expectations

Redbook Index surged 8.5% annually, boosting inflation concerns, limiting Fed cuts, and roiling Treasury, equity, dollar derivatives.

16 September 2026
TD Securities sees September Fed lift-off, softer dot plot may check dollar rally

TD Securities sees a September 25bp hike; fewer dots weaken USD, hawkish projections/October hike extend rally.

16 September 2026
India inflation at 4.8% keeps RBI hawkish as bond yields and rupee volatility rise

India’s August CPI inflation rose to 4.8%, keeping RBI hawkish, lifting yields, and boosting rupee volatility.

15 September 2026
Markets price 25bp Fed hike as debt and inflation risks weigh; gold pressured by stronger dollar

Markets expect Fed 25bp hike; sticky inflation and debt complicate outlook; stronger dollar pressures gold toward $4,210.

15 September 2026
UK jobs data cool wage pressures, bolstering case for Bank of England rate hold

UK jobs data shows softer labour market and easing wage growth, supporting Bank of England holding rates steady.

15 September 2026
Sterling Holds Firm as MUFG Sees BoE Holding Rates, Hinting at Possible November Hike

Sterling stays resilient as UK growth firms; markets anticipate tighter BoE policy despite energy shock and labor risks.

15 September 2026
USD/JPY holds near 154.55 as Fed and BoJ tightening bets lift volatility outlook

USD/JPY steadies near 154.55 as Fed, BoJ hikes loom; inflation data lifts volatility, favors bearish tactics.

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