Bank of England holds rates at 3.75% as Bailey flags lower central-scenario odds, Gulf uncertainty

by VT Markets
/
Jul 30, 2026

The Bank of England kept Bank Rate at 3.75% after the July meeting, with the Monetary Policy Committee voting 6-3 to hold. Governor Andrew Bailey said the UK market curve aligns with the Bank’s assessment of current economic conditions, and he described the softer-than-expected CPI outcome as encouraging.

Probability of Central Scenario

In his press remarks, Bailey said the central scenario should be assigned a lower-than-usual probability.

Global Economic Uncertainties

He also said conditions in the Gulf remain as uncertain as they were a few months ago.

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