Policy

31 July 2026
China Politburo Signals Fiscal Push Without Big Stimulus, Boosting China Assets and Yield Risks

July Politburo signaled restrained stimulus; H2 executes faster fiscal spending, boosts growth, supports equities, lifts yields.

31 July 2026
Warsh Fed Pause Risks Mispricing as Iran Supply Shock Lifts Oil and Stagflation Fears

Fed pauses amid Iran-driven supply shocks, risking transitory-inflation repeat; traders should hedge hawkish pivot and stagflation.

31 July 2026
BoE Holds 3.75% Rate as Dissent Rises, SONIA Futures Seen Undervalued

BoE held Bank Rate at 3.75% as inflation outlook fell; traders eye mispriced SONIA futures, hedged steepeners.

31 July 2026
Malaysia GDP accelerates as Bank Negara seen holding rates; subsidy shield keeps inflation contained

Malaysia Q2 GDP rose 5.8%, inflation 2%; BNM likely holds 2.75%, supporting swaps, equities, ringgit options.

31 July 2026
US 4-week Treasury bill yield slips to 3.63% as markets price deeper Fed rate cuts

4-week Treasury bill yield drops to 3.63%, signaling Fed easing expectations; consider long SOFR futures, equity calls.

31 July 2026
Fed holds rates as three hawks dissent, long-end yields climb ahead of Jackson Hole

Fed held rates; statement barely changed but 9-3 vote, 30-year yields surged, volatility bets ahead.

31 July 2026
Bank of England holds Bank Rate at 3.75% as hawkish tilt keeps easing bets in check

Bank of England holds 3.75% in 6-3 vote, hawkish tilt; traders favor SONIA shorts and inflation hedges.

30 July 2026
Australia CPI Eases on Lower Fuel, but Sticky Core Inflation Keeps RBA Hawkish on Rates

Softer CPI but sticky core inflation keeps RBA hawkish; tight jobs support AUD upside; consider bullish derivatives setups.

30 July 2026
US core PCE inflation holds at 3.3%, bolstering Fed pause expectations and favouring volatility-selling strategies

Core PCE held at 3.3% in June, calming markets and favoring volatility-selling strategies amid steady Fed expectations.

30 July 2026
US PCE Inflation Holds at 3.7% in June, Bolstering Fed Pause Expectations

June PCE inflation held at 3.7% YoY, matching forecasts, supporting steady Fed rates and lower-volatility derivatives strategies.

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