Policy

4 June 2026
Eurozone Real Rates Edge Higher as Fiscal Expansion and Bond Supply Lift Long-Term Yields

Eurozone real rates rise as fiscal expansion and ECB QT boost bond supply, lifting term premia.

4 June 2026
ISM services new orders jump signals robust US demand, challenging Fed rate-cut expectations

ISM services new orders surged in May, signaling robust demand, complicating Fed cuts, lifting yields, boosting volatility.

4 June 2026
US ISM Services Prices Surge, Challenging Fed Rate-Cut Bets, Lifting Yields, Dollar and Volatility

ISM services prices paid rose to 71.3, signaling sticky inflation, delaying Fed cuts; hedge equities, buy dollar.

4 June 2026
ISM Services Employment Slips Further Below 50, Bolstering Bets on Fed Rate Cuts

ISM services employment slips to 47.9, signaling continued hiring contraction, boosting rate-cut expectations, hedging strategies.

4 June 2026
US Factory Orders Beat Forecasts, Raising Prospects of Higher-for-longer Fed Rates

April US factory orders surged 4.8%, beating forecasts, signaling manufacturing momentum, complicating Fed cuts and lifting yields.

4 June 2026
US Composite PMI undershoot fuels rate-cut bets, prompting hedges and softer dollar outlook

US S&P Global Composite PMI slips to 51.5, signaling slowing growth, boosting rate-cut bets, and hedging.

3 June 2026
Brazil Industrial Output Beats Forecasts, Clouding Rate-Cut Outlook and Supporting the Real

Brazil’s April industrial output grew 2.7%, beating forecasts, complicating rate-cut bets and boosting BRL outlook.

3 June 2026
Eurozone Prices Stagflation Risk as US-Iran Tensions Raise ECB Hike Odds and Boost Euro

Eurozone faces stagflation from US-Iran tensions; ECB may hike early, boosting volatility, euro, amid weaker growth.

3 June 2026
UK credit strength and front-end yields bolster Bank of England tightening bias, underpinning sterling

UK data and front-end yields signal possible BoE hike; July favoured, supporting GBP/EUR despite political risks.

3 June 2026
EUR/DKK hits record high as Denmark’s central bank stays patient, likely to cap further gains

EUR/DKK hit record highs; Denmark’s central bank stayed patient, but likely intervenes soon; rate hike odds low.

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