Inflation

6 July 2026
Melbourne Institute inflation gauge sinks again, undermining market pricing for further RBA tightening

Melbourne Institute gauge fell again in June; trimmed mean eased to 2.8%, undermining markets’ RBA hike bets.

6 July 2026
CEE currencies rebound on softer dollar as Hungary and Czech inflation loom; Poland seen dovish

CEE currencies rebounded on weaker US data; upcoming Hungary/Czech inflation may turn dovish, pressuring FX, PLN softer.

6 July 2026
European disinflation shifts focus to fiscal risks as Poland deficit widens and NATO spending looms

European disinflation eases inflation fears, shifting focus to growth and fiscal credibility; Poland’s deficit and borrowing worry.

6 July 2026
Eurozone Producer Prices Beat Forecast, Reinforcing Higher-for-Longer ECB Rate Expectations

Eurozone producer prices rose 5.9% in May, bolstering hawkish ECB outlook, supporting euro, pressuring equities.

6 July 2026
Eurozone retail sales rise 1.6% in May, focus shifts to June inflation and ECB decision

Eurozone May retail sales rose 1.6% yearly, 0.1% monthly; markets await June HICP, PMI catalysts.

6 July 2026
Euro slips as dollar firms on risk-off mood despite upbeat German orders and Sentix gains

Euro slips near 1.1415 as risk appetite fades; strong German data offset by geopolitical uncertainty and firm dollar.

6 July 2026
RBC Sees BoC Q2 Business Survey Testing Oil Shock Inflation Views, CAD and Rate Cut Bets

BoC’s Q2 survey, captured near $100 oil, may shift rate-cut timing, loonie outlook, options strategy.

6 July 2026
US futures climb as weak payrolls temper Fed hike odds ahead of ISM and minutes

US equity futures rose as weak jobs data eased Fed hike odds; attention turns to ISM, minutes.

6 July 2026
Gold steadies below two-week high as Hormuz tensions lift dollar, central bank buying supports

Gold steadies below two-week high as Hormuz tensions, softer Fed hike bets, central-bank buying support.

6 July 2026
Markets await services PMIs to test Fed outlook after soft US payrolls and easing inflation

Softer jobs and inflation shift focus to services PMIs, testing slowdown and shaping Fed rate expectations.

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