Hawkish

18 June 2026
Dollar holds gains as Warsh-led Fed turns hawkish, with tightening largely priced in

Dollar holds modest gains as hawkish Fed repricing is largely priced in, capping DXY upside near 100.60.

18 June 2026
GBP/USD bounces as Iran truce dents dollar, while soft UK inflation and hawkish Fed cap gains

GBP/USD rebounded above 1.3300 on Iran-deal dollar dip, but weak UK inflation and hawkish Fed cap gains.

18 June 2026
AUD/USD rebounds as softer dollar and hawkish RBA offset firm Fed rate hike expectations

AUD/USD rebounds near 0.7040 as softer dollar and hawkish RBA offset Fed hike expectations, capping gains.

18 June 2026
Gold hits two-day low as hawkish Warsh-led Fed lifts dollar and rate expectations

Gold falls to two-day low as hawkish Fed lifts dollar, raising gold’s downside risks.

17 June 2026
USD/CAD Holds Near 1.3990 as Fed Decision Looms and Oil Weakens on US-Iran Deal Expectations

USD/CAD near 1.3990 ahead of Fed; weak oil pressures CAD; options target volatility breakout, hedged risks.

17 June 2026
US Export Prices Accelerate to 11.2%, Bolstering Hawkish Fed Bets and Dollar Upside

US export prices rose 11.2% in May, signaling inflation, hawkish Fed expectations, higher yields, stronger dollar.

16 June 2026
Kazimir Flags Further ECB Tightening as Energy Shock Keeps Core Inflation Elevated, Euro Firms

Kazimir signals ECB not done; energy shock keeps core inflation high, favoring frontloaded hikes; euro upside.

15 June 2026
Dollar eases on US-Iran optimism as hawkish Fed hold keeps greenback supported

Dollar dips on Iran optimism, but resilient US data and a hawkish Fed tilt support gains.

15 June 2026
New Zealand card retail sales growth accelerates in May, reinforcing higher-for-longer RBNZ outlook

New Zealand card retail sales growth quickened to 3.3%, signalling resilient demand and supporting higher-for-longer rates, firmer NZD.

12 June 2026
Markets shift focus from ECB hike to FOMC as Warsh debut signals neutral-to-hawkish tilt

Focus shifts to June 17 FOMC: new leadership turns neutral-to-hawkish, dot plot drops cuts, maybe adds hikes.

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