Forecast

21 July 2026
UK Regular Pay Growth Holds at 3.4% in Three Months to May, Matching Forecasts

UK regular pay, excluding bonuses, rose 3.4% to May, matching forecasts and signalling steady wage growth trends.

21 July 2026
UK inflation seen holding at 2.7% as services stay firm, fuel prices drive energy uptick

UK June CPI seen easing to 2.7%, while services stay firm; fuel drives energy risks.

18 July 2026
Wells Fargo lifts 2026 global growth view, trims inflation as central bank paths diverge

Wells Fargo sees 2026 GDP at 2.7%, CPI 4.3%; diverging central-bank paths drive derivative trading opportunities.

4 July 2026
ABN AMRO trims EUR/USD forecasts as ECB–Fed divergence grows amid French and US election risks

ABN AMRO trims EUR/USD forecasts amid ECB-Fed divergence and election risks; favors spreads, hedged longs, put-selling.

2 July 2026
Mexican peso slips as USMCA doubts lift trade-risk premium and underpin firmer US dollar

Peso weakens as USMCA extension doubts boost trade-risk premium, pushing USD/MXN higher amid positioning unwind.

18 June 2026
ABN AMRO sees EUR/USD supported as Fed-ECB policy gap narrows and Eurozone fundamentals improve

ABN AMRO sees EUR/USD rising as Fed expectations shift, rate gaps narrow, supporting euro amid volatility risks.

17 June 2026
RaboResearch Flags Softer UK Inflation, Cautious BoE as Sterling Seen Drifting Lower Against Euro

Softer UK inflation and labour data may curb BoE hikes, lifting EUR/GBP to 0.87, pressuring GBP/USD.

13 June 2026
Reuters poll sees Bank of England holding rates in June as economists split on year-ahead path

Reuters poll: BoE likely holds 3.75% June 18; inflation peaks 3.6%, growth 1%, guidance watched.

9 June 2026
National Bank of Canada urges Bank of Canada to add unemployment forecasts to quarterly policy report

Economists urge Bank of Canada to forecast unemployment, shifting policy focus to labour slack, boosting market volatility.

9 June 2026
BBH warns Sterling at risk as weak UK data clashes with hawkish BoE pricing and politics

BBH warns GBP downside as UK data weakens, BoE hike bets stay high, politics add volatility.

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