OpenAI and Anthropic: How to Trade the AI Boom Before They Go Public

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Jun 29, 2026
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Key Takeaways

  • OpenAI and Anthropic are leading the AI revolution, driving innovation and investment across the global technology sector.
  • You don’t have to wait for an IPO to gain exposure, with Pre-IPO markets such as OPENAIUSD and ANTHUSD offering opportunities to trade ahead of a public listing.
  • A future IPO from either company could become one of the largest technology listings in history, attracting significant investor interest and capital inflows.
  • While AI offers substantial long-term growth potential, investors should remain mindful of valuation risks, intensifying competition, and evolving regulations.

Artificial intelligence is rapidly evolving into the defining investment theme of the decade. Every major technology company is striving to develop more powerful AI models, while businesses across countless industries are restructuring operations to integrate intelligent automation. At the absolute epicentre of this revolution sit two private giants: OpenAI and Anthropic.

For a foundational look at technology driving this shift, see our guide on What is Artificial Intelligence?.

Because neither company is publicly traded, retail investors cannot buy their shares directly. However, their gravitational pull extends far across public markets. The explosive demand for AI infrastructure, cloud computing, and advanced semiconductors has created massive liquidity and trading opportunities throughout the technology sector. For traders, understanding how OpenAI and Anthropic are shaping capital flows is the key to identifying the next breakout market trends.

The AI Race: Why OpenAI and Anthropic Matter

OpenAI and Anthropic are widely regarded as the dual engines of advanced frontier LLMs (Large Language Models). Their software does more than just generate text; it analyses complex data, writes enterprise-grade code, and orchestrates multi-step autonomous workflows. This technology is fundamentally rewriting market operations, a phenomenon explored deeply in our analysis of AI in Trading: How it’s Transforming Stock Markets.

The fierce competition between these two entities acts as a catalyst for the broader tech sector:

  • Massive Valuations: OpenAI’s valuation has surged past $150 billion following multi-billion-dollar funding rounds, while Anthropic’s valuation has climbed toward the $40 billion mark, backed by heavy tech alliances.
  • Infrastructure Spending: To keep pace with their model updates, tech giants are funnelling unprecedented capital into physical infrastructure. Global hyperscaler capital expenditure (CapEx) on data centres and AI hardware is projected to exceed $200 billion annually, driven almost entirely by the computational demands of frontier models. For a real-world example of how upcoming public hardware listings are tied to this spending, see our analysis on the Circular AI Economy: Lessons from Cerebras’ IPO.

OpenAI vs Anthropic: Key Differences

While they fight for the same enterprise dollars, their operational philosophies differ sharply, creating distinct ripples across their respective supply chains.

Feature / StrategyOpenAIAnthropic
Primary FocusConsumer ubiquity, mass commercialisation, and ecosystem scale.Enterprise-grade reliability, strict AI safety, and structural alignment.
Flagship ModelGPT-4 / o1 seriesClaude series
Anchor Cloud PartnerMicrosoftAmazon & Google
Market ApproachBroad developer ecosystems & enterprise software integration.High-performance reasoning for heavily regulated sectors (Finance, Healthcare).

Why Markets Are Watching OpenAI and Anthropic’s IPO Potential

Few potential stock market listings in history have generated as much anticipation as OpenAI and Anthropic.

If either company triggers an Initial Public Offering (IPO), it would grant Wall Street direct exposure to pure-play frontier AI. Given that the global AI market size is forecasted to scale from roughly $184 billion in 2024 to over $820 billion by 2030, a public listing from either firm would instantly become a cornerstone asset in global tech indices.

Until that bell rings, however, smart capital is positioning itself through the public corporate network that sustains them.

The Companies Benefiting Today

You do not need to wait for an IPO to trade the AI boom. OpenAI and Anthropic rely on a massive, publicly traded ecosystem to survive. You can read our beginner’s guide on How to Invest in AI Stocks.

  1. Hardware & Semiconductors

AI models require staggering amounts of computational power. Compute clusters use thousands of advanced graphics processors (GPUs) and high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips.

Market Data: The AI chip market is growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 30%, sending valuations of dominant semiconductor manufacturers and custom silicon designers to historic highs.

  1. Cloud Infrastructure Hyperscalers

Neither OpenAI nor Anthropic operates entirely on its own hardware; they run on massive cloud computing platforms.

  • Microsoft (MSFT): Owns a significant profit-share stake in OpenAI, powering its models via Azure.
  • Amazon (AMZN) & Alphabet (GOOGL): Both have poured billions into Anthropic, anchoring the startup to AWS and Google Cloud infrastructure.
  1. Data Centre Infrastructure & Networking

The physical bottlenecks of AI are power and connectivity. Companies specialised in liquid cooling systems, high-speed ethernet/InfiniBand networking, and electrical grid equipment are experiencing massive backlogs of orders, making them highly lucrative proxy plays. As these physical data center constraints intensify, the entire industry is looking toward next-generation architecture; read more on how AI Demand Is Reaching Quantum Scale.

How Traders Can Position for the AI Theme

Investors do not need direct ownership of OpenAI or Anthropic to gain exposure to the AI trend. Instead, many choose to use derivative instruments like Contracts for Difference (CFDs) to trade price movements across the broader AI ecosystem. If you are new to this vehicle, read our core manual: What is a CFD? The Complete Guide to Contract for Difference.

This includes semiconductor companies that supply advanced AI chips, cloud providers that deliver the computing power needed to train and run AI models, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that offer diversified exposure across the broader AI ecosystem. By investing in businesses enabling AI adoption, traders can participate in the sector’s long-term growth while reducing reliance on the success of any single company.

Risks to Watch

Despite its enormous potential, investing in artificial intelligence comes with risks. Many AI-related stocks have already seen significant gains, leaving valuations vulnerable if earnings fail to meet high expectations. Managing your capital requires robust guardrails; ensure you implement these Trade Risk Management Tips on every position.

Competition is also intensifying, with established technology giants and emerging start-ups investing heavily in AI. At the same time, companies are spending billions on AI infrastructure, and slower-than-expected adoption could weigh on future growth.

Regulation is another key risk. Governments continue to develop rules around AI safety, privacy, copyright and data usage, which could affect how quickly new technologies are commercialised.

While AI has the potential to transform industries, technological innovation does not always translate into immediate financial success. Investors should balance the sector’s long-term opportunities with its evolving risks.

What Their Future IPOs Could Mean for Markets

Whenever OpenAI or Anthropic eventually lists on public exchanges, the events will trigger massive capital reallocations across global technology portfolios.

However, waiting on the sidelines for an official IPO filing means missing the foundational build-out phase. The companies providing silicon, data centres, cooling systems, and cloud pipelines are already publicly listed, already generating record-breaking revenues, and already trading daily.

For traders, the most important lesson is that waiting for future IPOs is not the only way to profit from the AI revolution. The companies building the technology that powers artificial intelligence are already listed, already generating revenue and already playing a central role in the fastest-growing industry in the global economy.

Trade the Pre-IPO Market Today

Instead of waiting years for an IPO that may or may not arrive soon, traders can already speculate on market sentiment surrounding OpenAI and Anthropic through OPENAIUSD and ANTHUSD. This allows you to react to funding rounds, partnership announcements and AI industry developments without needing to own the underlying shares.

Explore OPENAIUSD & ANTHUSD (Anthropic) on our platform and position your portfolio before the crowd.

Create a live VT Markets account today to access our platform features, including market insights and educational content.

Download our app to access the markets, manage your positions, and stay updated with real-time price movements — all from your mobile device.

The Big Questions

1) Can I buy shares of OpenAI or Anthropic directly?

No, neither OpenAI nor Anthropic is currently publicly listed on traditional stock exchanges, meaning retail investors cannot purchase traditional shares directly. However, traders can gain direct price exposure to their market movements prior to their initial public offerings (IPOs) through specialised pre-IPO Contract for Difference (CFD) instruments on platforms like ours.

2) What is a pre-IPO CFD, and how does it work?

A pre-IPO Contract for Difference (CFD) is a derivative financial instrument that allows traders to speculate on the price movements of a company while it is still private. Instead of owning physical equity, you trade a contract based on the underlying valuation of the company (such as OPENAIUSD or ANTHUSD), allowing you to go long or short ahead of the public listing.

3) When are OpenAI and Anthropic expected to go public?

While official public launch dates have not been locked in, both companies have generated massive market anticipation following high-profile funding rounds and private valuation milestones. Because corporate strategies change rapidly, trading pre-IPO CFDs provides a way to capture early price action and market sentiment without waiting for the official exchange listing.

4) How can I invest in the AI boom using traditional stocks?

If you want to build a portfolio around the AI theme through traditional equities, look at the public infrastructure layer that powers frontier models. High-yield proxy plays include semiconductor manufacturers supplying advanced GPUs, cloud computing hyperscalers backing these startups (like Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet), and data centre infrastructure providers specialising in high-speed networking or liquid cooling.

5) What are the key risks when trading pre-IPO AI assets?

Trading private artificial intelligence firms involves distinct risks, including high market volatility, shifting global regulations around AI safety, and stretched valuations that rely on rapid enterprise adoption. Traders should always implement robust risk management strategies, such as setting stop-loss orders and managing leverage carefully, to protect capital against sudden market shifts.

Ross Maxwell
Ross Maxwell

Ross Maxwell is a seasoned professional trader, investment manager, and trading coach with over 20 years of experience in the financial markets.

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