Live Updates

6

Mar 2026

印度外汇储备由7236.1亿美元增至7284.9亿美元，2月美元持有量上升

印度外储2月23日增至7,284.9亿美元，续写累积强势；2026年更创8,021亿新高。RBI“弹药库”压低USD/INR隐波至3.8%，卢比急贬风险被重估。

6

Mar 2026

欧洲时段，XAG/USD徘徊在82.80美元附近，投资者等待美国2月非农就业数据公布

白银XAG/USD守在82.80美元，NFP成今晚引爆点！ADP转强推升7月按兵不动概率至51.7%。强就业或压银，地缘风险托底；关键阻力84.8/90，支撑82/78/75。

6

Mar 2026

欧元区第四季度经季调季度GDP增长0.2%，低于0.3%的预测值

欧元区季调GDP第四季仅增0.2%不及预期，复苏或失速！ECB提前降息机率升，欧元或走弱、股指承压；VSTOXX低位恐反弹，期权成本上涨。

6

Mar 2026

在美国非农就业数据公布前，印度卢比走强，美元/印度卢比在印度午后时段谨慎交投

卢比午后反弹拉回USD/INR近92，疑受RBI干预。中东战事推油价逼近80压制卢比，FII连卖。静待美非农与降息概率，技术阻力92.67。

6

Mar 2026

德国商业银行（Commerzbank）Volkmar Baur：购买力平价（PPP）显示欧元兑美元（EUR/USD）被低估，但欧元贸易加权汇率处于较高水平，掩盖了美元走软的迹象

欧元兑美元按PPP显弱，却在贸易加权仍近历史高位：ECB篮子40币，人民币与台币占17%被低估，推高指数约5%。看懂“强欧元”真相。

6

Mar 2026

白银价格攀升至每金衡盎司84.20美元，较周四的82.02美元上涨2.65%

白银周五劲升2.65%至84.20美元，年内涨18.45%；金银比降至60.64。地缘风险、衰退与利率、美元及工业需求共推银价，后市看点十足。

6

Mar 2026

纽约梅隆银行（BNY）Bob Savage：油价冲击风险被低估；能源股走高，原油成避险资产，油价上看100美元概率高

BNY警告市场低估油供冲击；预测市场押注油价破100美元概率50%-80%。资金涌向能源股、原油成新防御资产，并或推升通胀与高利率，冲击科技成长股。

6

Mar 2026

德意志银行预计2月美国非农就业增长将放缓至3万人，失业率维持在4.3%不变

非农恐“跳水”？德银估2月仅增3万人、失业率4.3%，BLS人口调整添变数。申领救济仍低，偏向买波动：标普跨式、VIX或跳，弱数据利多降息与欧元。

6

Mar 2026

奥地利2月未经季节性调整的批发价格按月持平，为0.7%

奥地利批发价2月按月持平，市场目光转向美国非农：美元需求升温压低欧元英镑，黄金受压；加密偏谨慎，油价与地缘风险搅动情绪。

6

Mar 2026

尽管美联储态度谨慎，美元仍走软，推动金价收复上一交易日跌幅

黄金周五反弹却恐终结五周连涨：避险买盘、油价推升通胀、美元偏弱撑价；中东冲突升级叠加美国数据与15%关税不确定，降息预期降温。

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