Live Updates

7

Mar 2026

美元/马币徘徊近期高位，美元走强、情绪偏弱与伊朗局势紧张及能源议题带动下，后续仍有上行空间

美元强势叠加伊朗局势升温，USD/MYR 高位横盘在3.9450附近。关注3.95/3.9630阻力、3.9180支撑。波动率或飙升，跨式与深度价外美元看涨可对冲。

7

Mar 2026

阿根廷工业产出同比（未经季节调整）仍下滑，但跌幅收窄至-3.2%，较1月的-3.9%有所改善

阿根廷1月工业产出同比降3.2%，优于前值，收缩趋缓显企稳。叠加通胀回落至4.8%，资产修复逻辑强化；指数多头更有据，期权宜卖出价外看跌赚波动回落。

7

Mar 2026

中东战事升级推高油价，而疲弱的美国就业数据令美元受挫

伊朗遇刺引爆冲突、霍尔木兹封锁切断约20%供油，油金飙升重定价外汇；美非农转负令美元避险与走弱拉扯。期权跨式与能源ETF成焦点。

7

Mar 2026

在疲弱非农数据后美元与美债收益率走软，银价小幅走高；指标显示价格仍维持区间震荡，本周收低

非农不及预期拖累美元与美债收益率，白银反弹却仍恐三周首跌。油价因霍尔木兹风险升温，降息预期降温；技术面偏震荡，关注72-94美元区间。

7

Mar 2026

波士顿联储主席柯林斯称，降息需看到通胀更明确降温，货币政策暂无迫切调整需求

波士顿联储柯林斯放话：通胀未见明确降温前不急降息，关税或添上行风险。利率料维持、救市门槛更高；押注短期降息难赚，宜偏防守布局。

6

Mar 2026

受霍尔木兹海峡紧张局势影响，WTI原油上涨11%，突破87美元，创2023年10月以来新高

WTI飙11%破87美元、累涨逾30%，创10月新高！美伊冲突升级致霍尔木兹几近封航，原油与LNG供应骤减，中炼厂停出口、伊拉克关油田。

6

Mar 2026

ING经济学家预计日本2025年第四季度GDP终值将上修，因冬季奖金增长、通胀降温缓解工资压力

日本Q4 GDP料上修至0.3%，薪资回暖、PPI稳2.2%，逼BOJ 3月偏鹰；日圆或迎转折。策略：买JPY call/ USD put，配日经225 put对冲出口股冲击。

6

Mar 2026

欧洲央行决策者伊莎贝尔·施纳贝尔称，尽管伊朗战争加剧通胀上行压力，央行立场仍处于有利位置

伊朗战争推升油价与航运成本，施纳贝尔警告欧元区通胀上行，ECB降息或更犹豫。交易员宜押“利率高更久”、布局波动对冲及欧元走强机会。

6

Mar 2026

纽元收窄早前跌幅，守在0.5874的200日均线之上，逼近0.5900持平水平

纽纽守住200日均线0.5874，0.5900下方震荡、RSI偏空；上破看0.5955-0.6000，跌破或探0.5817/0.5800。期权可买Put押0.5700或做熊市价差，留意隐波变化。

6

Mar 2026

贝克休斯报告称，美国石油钻机数量从上期的407座增至411座

油市新变量：美国活跃石油钻井平台连四周增至411座，增产预期升温压制中期油价；虽有OPEC+延长减产托市，但需求偏弱下波动料加剧。

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