Live Updates

9

Mar 2026

1月，日本未季调经常账户总额为9416亿日元，低于预期的9600亿日元

日本1月经常账户顺差仅9416亿日元、低于预期，外汇流入不及估算恐压日元。日银或更谨慎加息，美元/日元看160-162；日经受惠但需防全球需求转弱。

9

Mar 2026

日本1月国际收支（BOP）贸易余额升至3.145万亿日元，高于前值2.6971万亿日元

日本1月BOP贸易顺差升至3.145万亿日元，较前值增4479亿，暗示日元需求或走强。可布局USD/JPY看跌期权；但强日元恐压出口股，日经与出口商ETF看跌更稳。

9

Mar 2026

日本2月银行贷款同比增幅超预期，达4.5%，高于预测的4.4%

日本2月银行贷款同比增4.5%超预期，内需与融资动能回升，叠加核心通胀偏高，BoJ或加速政策正常化。关注日元看涨、日债看跌与日经长波动策略。

9

Mar 2026

亚洲早盘交易中，美元走强及油价推升通胀忧虑打压金价，黄金逼近5,065美元

金价亚洲盘回落至约5,065美元，美元走强与油价推升通胀压制表现。CPI周三揭晓、美伊局势添变数；波动率飙升，跨式/价差策略或成机会。

9

Mar 2026

日本劳动现金收入同比增至3%，高于1月前值2.4%

日本1月劳工现金收入年增升至3%引爆市场：薪资加速或促日央行3月退出负利率。日圆看涨、美元/日圆或探140；日股承压，期权布局波动。

9

Mar 2026

中国国家统计局将于GMT 01:30发布2月CPI与PPI，通胀预期或推动澳元/美元波动

中国2月CPI/PPI今夜揭盅：若通胀超预期，AUD/USD或冲0.7055；若偏弱恐拖累澳元下探0.6500。期权波动升温，跨式与对冲成焦点。铁矿石与RBA立场亦关键。

9

Mar 2026

CNBC报道：伊朗在美以空袭致阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊身亡后，任命穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊为最高领袖

伊朗火速任命穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊接班最高领袖，首现“世袭”色彩；特朗普反对引爆地缘风险溢价，WTI飙升破103美元，波动率、期权对冲与霍尔木兹成焦点。

9

Mar 2026

WTI原油交易于103.85美元附近，在中东冲突扰乱燃料供应后突破100.50美元

WTI飙至103.85美元、创2022年7月来高位；中东冲突与霍尔木兹海峡风险推升供应忧虑。短线偏多，关注110/115看涨期权，并以价外看跌对冲；高油价或延后美联储降息、美元走强。

8

Mar 2026

中国外汇储备环比上升，2月达3.428万亿美元，与前值持平

外汇储备2月维持3.428万亿美元、按月小升：央行未大举卖美元护汇，人民币或低波动管理式运行。期权卖跨/宽跨有机会；出口偏强、商品区间思维。央行连17月增金托底。

8

Mar 2026

标普500回吐周四反弹，受疲弱就业数据与劳动参与率不及预期影响，谨慎回落

非农疲弱却挡不住尾盘抛售，美股波动加剧！降息预期托市、科技相对强势；伊朗风险或被低估推升油价。策略：SPY防守put、QQQ做多配XLF对冲。

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