Live Updates

9

Mar 2026

星展银行魏秉华：尽管市场避险情绪升温、油价高企及紧张局势加剧，美元避险吸引力走弱

避险失灵：中东冲突与油价破90美元仍撑不起美元。非农转负重创韧性叙事，美联储转鸽；欧英政策分化+财政风险升温，做空美元成主线。

9

Mar 2026

欧洲时段，XAG/USD 收复大部分跌幅，交投于 84.00 美元附近，但前景仍不明朗

银价回升至84美元附近，但美债收益率与美元走强仍压制；联储更偏按兵不动。技术阻力90、支撑82/78。别忽视太阳能带动的工业用银托底。

9

Mar 2026

在三年暴涨13,000%后，Carvana 面临艾略特波浪回调，或有50%下跌风险

CVNA三年暴涨后或迎深度回撤：按波浪与斐波那契，目标245–188美元。等待3/7/11段摆动落底再博(III)浪；期权可用Put或熊市看涨价差抓回调与波动溢价。

9

Mar 2026

Global X 的 SIL ETF 为投资者提供多元化渠道，布局全球主要白银矿企，并聚焦即将到来的支撑区间

想抓白银矿企下一波？SIL月线处((4))回调，74–91美元支撑区成关键；16美元守住结构。通胀3.1%叠加太阳能用银需求，有望吸引买盘。

9

Mar 2026

斯塔默称中东冲突若长期化恐加剧经济冲击，政府正与合作伙伴磋商以缓解影响

中东战火或拖累经济？英相斯塔默警告冲突越久冲击越大；英政府与盟友商讨降风险，财长每日联络英伦银行预判能源价，并力促伊朗局势降温。

9

Mar 2026

德意志银行经济学家桑杰·拉贾评估英国央行与英国政府对不同能源冲击情景的应对措施

油价飙升、英国通胀回升，德银推演英央行与政府三剧本：最快4-6月起两次降息至3.25%；若危机拖延，燃油税支援扩大，降息或延至2026年Q4。

9

Mar 2026

3月欧元区Sentix投资者信心降至-3.1，逆转2月的4.2读数

Sentix欧元区投资者信心3月骤降至-3.1，因伊朗战事与能源冲击引发避险。欧元走弱、波动或升温；ECB降息更难，德制造业数据成关键。

9

Mar 2026

欧元区Sentix投资者信心指数3月跌至-3.1，逆转前值4.2

欧元区Sentix 3月骤跌至-3.1，五个月来首度转负！警惕欧洲股市与欧元走弱、波动升温；可用EURO STOXX 50 put、做空EUR/USD、买VSTOXX call及做多德债避险。

9

Mar 2026

中东冲突推升油价支撑美元，高收益新兴市场货币承压

中东冲突推升油价与美债收益率，美元指数逼近100上缘；降息预期被延后，美元尤其压制南非兰特、匈牙利福林。套息交易恶化、平仓潮起，波动率恐飙。

9

Mar 2026

中东战争风险升温拖累标普500指数下挫，低开后延续自1月高点以来的跌势

标普500自1月高点回落超8%，跳空下破或处第五浪，目标6,370-6,500；VIX破25、地缘与通胀施压。唯有收盘站上6,772才翻多。

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