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Live Updates

10

Mar 2026

中东紧张局势持续之际，英镑在美元走弱延续下升破1.3450，特朗普称战争接近结束

英镑兑美元逆地缘风险走高至1.3467，关键在美元疲弱与降息预期升温；英央行偏鹰、工资坚挺托底。衍生品可布局看涨期权，押注上探1.3000。

10

Mar 2026

ING经济学家报告：匈牙利2月通胀降至1.4%，能源成本、燃油价格及福林走弱令利率决策更趋复杂

匈牙利通胀意外跌至1.4%、核心2.1%创多年低，但油价飙升与福林走弱或推2026年回升至4%，令央行降息、债市与外汇波动升温。

10

Mar 2026

WTI原油回落至约82.30美元，G7权衡释放储备，IEA召开紧急会议

WTI跌至82.30美元，因G7与IEA讨论必要时释放战略储备、缓和霍尔木兹风险。政策表态增不确定性，隐波或升；关注跨式/宽跨式捕捉波动，警惕OPEC+反制。

10

Mar 2026

周二，金价从5000美元反弹后站上5200美元上方，受美元与美债收益率走弱支撑

金价周二反弹至约5,222美元涨1.63%：美元与美债收益率走软、降息预期升温叠加美伊战事与霍尔木兹风险；技术守住5,105，上看5,330。

10

Mar 2026

市场保持谨慎、美元走软提振欧元/美元逼近1.1645，欧元连涨第三日

战火阴影下欧元反弹：美元转弱助欧元/美元回升至1.1645；伊朗冲突牵动油价与通胀，G7或释储稳市；欧央行偏鹰，市场押注美联储后续降息。

10

Mar 2026

日本经济大臣赤泽在接受路透采访时表示，他已与七国集团（G7）部长讨论能源供应情况及可能释放石油储备事宜

G7释放“可能协调释储”信号，瞄准布伦特破100美元涨势上限；短线油价承压、波动率或再飙。留意空头期权、长跨式与近月卖远月价差机会。

10

Mar 2026

诺德亚首席分析师称，尽管1月GDP下滑，瑞典复苏势头仍保持完好，服务业持续增长

瑞典1月GDP意外按月跌1.1%，建筑制造拖累；通胀回升至2.4%令央行更观望。利率与汇率波动升温，克朗转弱；关注跨式与保护性看跌机会。

10

Mar 2026

哈达德称，油价下跌致挪威克朗（NOK）走弱；2月通胀高于挪威央行预测，令降息面临挑战

油价拖累挪威克朗走弱，但2月通胀仍高于央行预测，降息路径再添变数。利差支撑NOK套息未破，EUR/NOK或迎波动，期权策略成焦点。

10

Mar 2026

澳元/美元升至0.7125，在澳洲债券收益率走强带动下，上涨动能获疲弱美元支撑

澳元/美元连涨三日逼近0.7125，美元走软与加息预期助推。中国2月顺差爆表提振情绪；澳债息飙、通胀警惕升温。紧盯美CPI/PCE与0.7150破位。

10

Mar 2026

野村预计，若能源期货回落至冲突前水平，欧洲央行将维持利率不变直至2026年

野村警告：若布伦特与TTF不回落，ECB或延至2026才动利率恐落空；市场已押注加息。能源期货高位或触发今年6月起两至三次加息。

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